How will University Park, TX swing/trend in 2024?

[VAR]

This is the 2nd wealthiest city in America. Romney won it by 62%, Trump won it by 34% in 2016 and 27% in 2020.

[Frenchrepublican]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

[Roll Roons]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

I’m not surprised. He’s a perfect fit for this kind of area.

[BaldEagle1991]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

I’m not surprised. He’s a perfect fit for this kind of area.

It was his base in the 2012 primary, White, wealthy, and educated Republican voters.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

I’m not surprised. He’s a perfect fit for this kind of area.

It was his base in the 2012 primary, White, wealthy, and educated Republican voters.

Exactly.
On a side note: Romney was a candidate quite well-tailored for high-propensity voting right-leaning constituencies in the Sunbelt, which helped power him to a big win in Texas and even almost an outright win in Harris County.
In this context, it is clear there is precisely nothing surprising about Romney winning University Park by such a huge margin as well as Texas by the largest margin by any non-native son Republican since Reagan in 1984.

[Frenchrepublican]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

I’m not surprised. He’s a perfect fit for this kind of area.

Yeah, sure but getting +80% in an area which is mostly urban/suburban is still very impressive, Romney did better here than in Midland.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If Trump is again the GOP nominee I would say more or less like in 2020 : Trump wins 62/36, no if the GOP candidate is someone else I would say it would vote 66/32 or something like that for the R candidate.

So a big swing / trend to the right without Trump, otherwise no change.

Still, it is crazy how well Romney did here in 2012.

I’m not surprised. He’s a perfect fit for this kind of area.

Yeah, sure but getting +80% in an area which is mostly urban/suburban is still very impressive, Romney did better here than in Midland.

It's not impressive given the time frame and candidate.