How will the previous county vote in a future hypothetical election? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 05:52:56 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  How will the previous county vote in a future hypothetical election? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How will the previous county vote in a future hypothetical election?  (Read 1428 times)
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« on: June 11, 2021, 06:23:16 PM »

Likely similar to 2020. Beto's home field advantage is countered by the never-trumper suburbanites who would vote for Haley.

What about Clay County, WV in a Bernie vs Rubio situation?
Probably Bernie Sanders by a single digit margin of victory.

Starr County, Texas, Donald Trump vs Joe Biden 2024?
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2021, 04:35:00 PM »

I think Biden overperforms on 2020 but underperforms Clinton; maybe a 15-point margin?
Also, how do you figure Clay County votes for Sanders? It gave Donald Trump 80% of the vote in 2020. If he's lucky Sanders will win 30%.
How does Ashtabula County, Ohio, vote in a race between Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown?
Marco Rubio I don’t think gets the white working class turnout that Donald Trump got, so I think that a left wing populist like Bernie Sanders would have a shot in Clay County.

-SKIP-
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.