Spanish elections and politics III / Pedro Sánchez faces a new term as PM

[FredLindq]

11% counted
PP  37,8% 37 seats
PSOE 26,7% 25
VOX 17,5% 13
UPL 3,1% 3
SY 1,9% 2
XAV 1,3% 1
C 3,5% 0
UP 3,8% 0
EV 1,8% 0

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

Been skimming through some tiny municipalities that are at 100% counting, and PP is bleeding a lot of its 2019 vote towards Vox in almost all of them, enough to flip them to the PSOE in a couple of places…

[Mike88]

Soria Ya! is leading in Soria, while PSOE is currently leading in León. Very little from urban areas as of now, around 1-2% counted in León, Burgos and Valladolid.

Also, nice results map from elDiário: https://www.eldiario.es/castilla-y-leon/resultados-elecciones-13f-castilla-leon-municipios-provincias_1_8736041.html

[Skye]

ABC is updating the results fairly quickly and has them in maps, in case you want to see a visualization of how it's going:

https://www.abc.es/elecciones/autonomicas/resultados/castilla-y-leon/

[FredLindq]

PSOE is closing the gap to PP really fast now.
17% counted PP 33 seats vs PSOE 26

[FredLindq]

27% counted PP 33 seats vs PSOE 28

[Mike88]

27% counted PP 33 seats vs PSOE 28

The urban vote is starting to come in: It's close in Burgos, León is a 3 way race between UPL, PSOE and PP, in Valladolid PSOE is still leading but their margin is decreasing. In Salamanca, PP leads but the margin to the PSOE is narrowing.

[Walmart_shopper]

Seems like depending on how some of these seats go it will be either a bad night for Casado, or an absolute disaster for him. Spanish politics are very interesting right now.

[kaoras]

32-28 now with Cs gaining a seat for Valladolid.

PSOE is also on track of winning Valladolid and Burgos provinces.

In the end PP is still going to govern but the optics look terrible and this elections only seems to have strengthened Vox.

[Walmart_shopper]

With 35% in PP is at 32 seats, PSOE 28, Vox 13. A majority is 41 seats and the right wing frankencoalition has 45, but that is dwindling really fast. A few seats going favorably to the Socialists and it becomes a profound underperformance on the right.

[FredLindq]

35% counted
PP  34,2% 32 seats
PSOE 29,5% 28
VOX 17,4% 13
UP 4,6% 2
UPL 3,6% 2
SY 1,3%  2
XAV 1,0% 1
C 3,9% 1
EV 1,7% 0

[Skye]

UP's numbers are pretty rough right now, and I'm not convinced that they'll get much better.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

I’m starting to think the PSOE might actually win this thing, even if PP-Vox do get a majority.

[FredLindq]

51% counted PP 31 seats vs PSOE 28
32,9% vs 30,2%

[kaoras]

I’m starting to think the PSOE might actually win this thing, even if PP-Vox do get a majority.

Same

UP's numbers are pretty rough right now, and I'm not convinced that they'll get much better.

They are dancing in the limbo between 1 and 3 (Burgos and León seats are the ones that keep fliping) I still think 3 is more likely than 1

[Mike88]

Seems like depending on how some of these seats go it will be either a bad night for Casado, or an absolute disaster for him. Spanish politics are very interesting right now.

Totally. His gamble is failing spectacularly, and his job could be in danger.

[FredLindq]

64% counted PP 31 seats vs PSOE 28
32,4% vs 30,4%

[Skye]

Cs is at 6.4% in the province of Valladolid, only half of the city is in. I think it's pretty safe to say Igea will retain his seat.

[kaoras]

PSOE seem to be running out of steam. But these results are terrible for PP. Vox at 17,5% is astounding. And Soria Ya is getting 40% in Soria province and 49,4% in Soria captial.

[Mike88]

PP could lose one seat in Salamanca. It's currently 5-3 in favour of PP, but the margin is narrowing and it could end 4-4.

[jeron]

PSOE now in the lead in 4 provinces, PP also leads in 4 provinces and SoriaYa of course jn Soria.

[FredLindq]

81% counted PP 31 seats vs PSOE 28
31,9% vs 30,5%

PP and VOX still at 44 seats

[Oryxslayer]

So at the end of the day the PP more or less traded C's for VOX, and a united PSOE opposition for a fragmented multiparty opposition. Seems ideal if you are Ayuso or support her path to power, which is certainly not ideal long-term.

[FredLindq]

91% counted still PP 31 seats vs PSOE 28
31,7% vs 30,2%

PP and VOX still at 44 seats
It’s over. PP won.

It will be interesting to se if PP will get 31,5% as in 2019.

[Logical]

Soria Ya seems to have taken about half of the left and a third of the right vote. In a general election they could possibly sweep both seats in Soria.