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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Tilt D		  
#6
Lean D		  
#7
Likely D		  
#8
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: Rate Wisconsin  (Read 1470 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« on: February 21, 2021, 04:55:57 AM »
?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2021, 05:20:48 AM »
Lean D, it's unlikely that Rs can come up with a competetive race against Baldwin, they don't have anyone but Ron Johnson left and he may lose in 2022, whereas he beat the odds on 2010, with running with Walker
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Alcibiades
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E: -4.39, S: -6.96

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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2021, 05:49:59 AM »
Pure tossup. Tilt R if I have to choose one way or the other.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: February 21, 2021, 07:48:11 AM »
Most likely the tipping-point state.
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Biden his time
Abdullah
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« Reply #4 on: February 21, 2021, 10:13:04 AM »
We've had this thread a few times, no?
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 21, 2021, 10:35:50 AM »
Lean R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2021, 10:44:41 AM »
Dems are gonna win WI in 2022 and 2024, our Gov Evers has a 50 percent approval rating
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slothdem
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« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2021, 11:24:20 AM »
Interestingly enough, with all the board's Wisconsin discussion, the takes have mostly been pretty good. The state really was more vulnerable than PA and MI, simply because the state is (1) more rural than the other two, and (2) dems have more ground to lose among rural whites. And I think the board is right that, despite being the tipping point state in each of the last two elections, Wisconsin will be right of the tipping point state in the future - there is no reason for it to leapfrog PA, and Georgia is passing it like two trains in the night.

I voted Lean Dem, but I am sympathetic to the tilt option. But Biden is favored here, because he is clearly favored to win a second term, and Wisc probably won't be much to the right of the tip. I assume the gop-leaning responses are the result of people (incorrectly) assuming that 2024 will be a close election.
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Sirius_
Ninja0428
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E: -2.00, S: -7.91


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« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2021, 01:24:15 PM »
This will be a very close state, and I say tilt D for now. At this point I do not feel comfortable saying the GOP is favored in 2024, something has to drag Biden down like an economic crash for that to be the case.
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dw93
DWL
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« Reply #9 on: February 21, 2021, 01:37:20 PM »
Quote from: slothdem on February 21, 2021, 11:24:20 AM
Interestingly enough, with all the board's Wisconsin discussion, the takes have mostly been pretty good. The state really was more vulnerable than PA and MI, simply because the state is (1) more rural than the other two, and (2) dems have more ground to lose among rural whites. And I think the board is right that, despite being the tipping point state in each of the last two elections, Wisconsin will be right of the tipping point state in the future - there is no reason for it to leapfrog PA, and Georgia is passing it like two trains in the night.

I voted Lean Dem, but I am sympathetic to the tilt option. But Biden is favored here, because he is clearly favored to win a second term, and Wisc probably won't be much to the right of the tip. I assume the gop-leaning responses are the result of people (incorrectly) assuming that 2024 will be a close election.

I think it'll be close because I don't think Biden will run again in 2024, and unless Harris is the Incumbent President by then due to Biden being unable to finish the term due to health issues, 2024 will be an open election and thus I think it'll be close (as of now a close Democratic win) as a result.
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TheReckoning
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« Reply #10 on: February 21, 2021, 03:28:40 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on January 05, 2021, 04:39:29 PM
I am saying it right now: If either Ossoff or Warnock wins, I'll leave the forum for 1 solid year.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #11 on: February 21, 2021, 03:39:55 PM »

Weren't you supposed to leave the forum for a year?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: February 21, 2021, 05:21:19 PM »
He can't help it, both parties are evenly divided in Congress and both parties think they can win in 2022, but have the Rs learned yet, that Biden is the same Biden that ushered Obama to victories in OH, NC and FL in 2008/2012

We will win in 2022/2024 even with this Recession just like Biden won in 2020

The Rs don't like this, we will have DC Statehood eventually and end Citizens United and Reparations for AA and comprehensive immigration reform

Oh and the margins in the states won't be close like it was in 2020 WC females didn't like the Insurrectionists and will give D's a larger victory
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: 0.39, S: -5.39

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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2021, 02:32:26 PM »
Quote from: TheReckoning on February 21, 2021, 03:28:40 PM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on January 05, 2021, 04:39:29 PM
I am saying it right now: If either Ossoff or Warnock wins, I'll leave the forum for 1 solid year.


Quote from: TheReckoning on February 13, 2021, 02:31:03 PM
Dude forget it, it’s not gonna happen.
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TheReckoning
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2021, 02:37:11 PM »

Quote from: AGA on February 13, 2021, 03:31:26 PM

Still going to post it for all to see.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2021, 04:20:52 PM »
Pure Toss-Up. While it did vote a bit further right than MI/PA, it was not by a substantial margin (especially in the case of PA), so I don't see any reason to rate if differently from those two.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2021, 07:51:21 PM »
Tilt D, if forced to choose.
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dw93
DWL
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« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2021, 10:44:15 PM »
Pure toss up as of now. Ask me again in 2023.
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Devils30
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2021, 11:25:34 PM »
The GOP needs more than just Wisconsin in 2024, Georgia is a very likely replacement in the electoral college if the Dems lose here.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #19 on: February 23, 2021, 06:46:23 AM »
Quote from: Devils30 on February 22, 2021, 11:25:34 PM
The GOP needs more than just Wisconsin in 2024, Georgia is a very likely replacement in the electoral college if the Dems lose here.
WI and PA probably. Then after that MI.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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E: -1.48, S: 3.91

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« Reply #20 on: February 23, 2021, 10:51:24 AM »
Lean R. PA is tilt R with Harris and Toss up with Biden.
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