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March 04, 2021, 02:02:23 AM
Talk Elections
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Gubernatorial/State Elections
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Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
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Author
Topic: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term? (Read 529 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,481
Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
on:
February 22, 2021, 04:56:07 PM »
«
edited:
February 22, 2021, 05:19:48 PM
by
Bootes Void »
Will the current Florida Agriculture commissioner and the only current statewide democrat and only one to have won a race statewide since 2012 be reelected?
She was the on the news for not lowering the state flag for Limbaugh and has been confrontational with DeSantis
Logged
Gulf Coastal Elite
Donerail
Atlas Icon
Posts: 14,426
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -1.04
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected?
«
Reply #1 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:13:02 PM »
To be re-elected she has to run for re-election as Ag Commish. That seems unlikely at this point.
Logged
ERM64man
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,100
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected?
«
Reply #2 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:15:09 PM »
If she runs for another term, does she lose?
Logged
Teflon Ron 2024
EEllis02
Jr. Member
Posts: 996
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #3 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM »
Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Logged
ERM64man
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,100
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #4 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:35:41 PM »
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM
Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?
Logged
Teflon Ron 2024
EEllis02
Jr. Member
Posts: 996
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #5 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:36:23 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on February 22, 2021, 05:35:41 PM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM
Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?
Yes.
Logged
ERM64man
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,100
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #6 on:
February 22, 2021, 05:37:57 PM »
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on February 22, 2021, 05:35:41 PM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM
Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?
Yes.
Isn't a Fried-DeSantis race safe R, with a Republican also becoming Agricultural Commissioner?
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
Posts: 14,186
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #7 on:
February 22, 2021, 06:10:32 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on February 22, 2021, 05:37:57 PM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on February 22, 2021, 05:35:41 PM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM
Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?
Yes.
Isn't a Fried-DeSantis race safe R, with a Republican also becoming Agricultural Commissioner?
About as safe as the prospect of you not never asking the same question worded mildly differently 500x.
Logged
SnowLabrador
YaBB God
Posts: 3,798
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #8 on:
February 23, 2021, 07:48:20 AM »
No. She won by about 7,000 votes last time, and the state has only gotten more Republican since. With DeSantis and Rubio on the ballot, two very popular politicians in Florida, I don't see her winning.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
Posts: 13,743
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #9 on:
February 23, 2021, 02:50:13 PM »
Yes
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,543
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #10 on:
February 24, 2021, 05:35:28 AM »
Can't see how she wins when she barely survived 2018 and is butting heads against DeSantis.
Logged
Calthrina950
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,299
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #11 on:
February 24, 2021, 10:52:58 AM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on February 23, 2021, 07:48:20 AM
No. She won by about 7,000 votes last time, and the state has only gotten more Republican since. With DeSantis and Rubio on the ballot, two very popular politicians in Florida, I don't see her winning.
This. And it's looking increasingly likely that Fried will herself challenge DeSantis, and therefore lose by an even wider margin than she would lose by if she ran for reelection.
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gerritcole
goatofalltrades
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,066
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #12 on:
February 24, 2021, 10:55:13 AM »
If she was smart she’d run in a new dem leaning house seat after Florida gains 2/3 new seats after reapportionment
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ERM64man
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,100
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #13 on:
February 24, 2021, 10:58:22 AM »
Quote from: yfnlucci on February 24, 2021, 10:55:13 AM
If she was smart she’d run in a new dem leaning house seat after Florida gains 2/3 new seats after reapportionment
They might all lean R.
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mpbond
Rookie
Posts: 18
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #14 on:
February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM »
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
Logged
Gulf Coastal Elite
Donerail
Atlas Icon
Posts: 14,426
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -1.04
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #15 on:
February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM »
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
YaBB God
Posts: 4,103
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #16 on:
February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM »
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
Logged
Roll Roons
YaBB God
Posts: 4,508
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #17 on:
February 24, 2021, 06:03:55 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
Posts: 14,186
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #18 on:
February 24, 2021, 08:31:07 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
With her political credibility, she could
primary
DWS if she really wanted to. (DO IT, NIKKI, PLEASE! MIGHT AS WELL, YOU'VE GOT NOTHING TO LOSE IF YOU'VE ALREADY GIVEN UP AG. COMMISH!!)
Logged
Jon Testosterone / Estrogen Kefauver 2008
kongress
Jr. Member
Posts: 685
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #19 on:
February 24, 2021, 09:06:50 PM »
The legends of Angel Barrios and DeSantis's weight problem will sink Rubio and DeSantis anyway.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
YaBB God
Posts: 4,103
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #20 on:
February 24, 2021, 09:42:50 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on February 24, 2021, 06:03:55 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.
How about Deutch?
Logged
beesley
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,124
Political Matrix
E: 2.02, S: 4.49
Re: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
«
Reply #21 on:
February 25, 2021, 03:55:05 AM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 24, 2021, 09:42:50 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on February 24, 2021, 06:03:55 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM
Quote from: mpbond on February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM
The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.
How about Deutch?
54. Lois Frankel is 72 but her current district is only Palm Beach County.
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