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March 04, 2021, 02:02:23 AM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?
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Author Topic: Will Nikki Fried be reelected if she runs for another term?  (Read 529 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« on: February 22, 2021, 04:56:07 PM »
« edited: February 22, 2021, 05:19:48 PM by Bootes Void »

Will the current Florida Agriculture commissioner and the only current statewide democrat and only one to have won a race statewide since 2012 be reelected?

She was the on the news for not lowering the state flag for Limbaugh and has been confrontational with DeSantis
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Gulf Coastal Elite
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2021, 05:13:02 PM »

To be re-elected she has to run for re-election as Ag Commish. That seems unlikely at this point.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2021, 05:15:09 PM »

If she runs for another term, does she lose?
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Teflon Ron 2024
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2021, 05:30:36 PM »

Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
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ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2021, 05:35:41 PM »

Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?
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Teflon Ron 2024
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2021, 05:36:23 PM »

Would she be more likely to run for governor against DeSantis?
Yes, but wouldn't DeSantis beat her?

Yes.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2021, 05:37:57 PM »

Isn't a Fried-DeSantis race safe R, with a Republican also becoming Agricultural Commissioner?
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2021, 06:10:32 PM »

Isn't a Fried-DeSantis race safe R, with a Republican also becoming Agricultural Commissioner?

About as safe as the prospect of you not never asking the same question worded mildly differently 500x.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #8 on: February 23, 2021, 07:48:20 AM »

No. She won by about 7,000 votes last time, and the state has only gotten more Republican since. With DeSantis and Rubio on the ballot, two very popular politicians in Florida, I don't see her winning.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #9 on: February 23, 2021, 02:50:13 PM »

Yes
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: February 24, 2021, 05:35:28 AM »

Can't see how she wins when she barely survived 2018 and is butting heads against DeSantis.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #11 on: February 24, 2021, 10:52:58 AM »

No. She won by about 7,000 votes last time, and the state has only gotten more Republican since. With DeSantis and Rubio on the ballot, two very popular politicians in Florida, I don't see her winning.

This. And it's looking increasingly likely that Fried will herself challenge DeSantis, and therefore lose by an even wider margin than she would lose by if she ran for reelection.
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gerritcole
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« Reply #12 on: February 24, 2021, 10:55:13 AM »

If she was smart she’d run in a new dem leaning house seat after Florida gains 2/3 new seats after reapportionment
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ERM64man
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« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2021, 10:58:22 AM »

If she was smart she’d run in a new dem leaning house seat after Florida gains 2/3 new seats after reapportionment
They might all lean R.
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mpbond
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« Reply #14 on: February 24, 2021, 01:09:02 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
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Gulf Coastal Elite
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« Reply #15 on: February 24, 2021, 01:13:16 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #16 on: February 24, 2021, 06:00:18 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.

She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #17 on: February 24, 2021, 06:03:55 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.

She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.

DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #18 on: February 24, 2021, 08:31:07 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.

She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.

With her political credibility, she could primary DWS if she really wanted to. (DO IT, NIKKI, PLEASE! MIGHT AS WELL, YOU'VE GOT NOTHING TO LOSE IF YOU'VE ALREADY GIVEN UP AG. COMMISH!!)
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Jon Testosterone / Estrogen Kefauver 2008
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« Reply #19 on: February 24, 2021, 09:06:50 PM »

The legends of Angel Barrios and DeSantis's weight problem will sink Rubio and DeSantis anyway.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #20 on: February 24, 2021, 09:42:50 PM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.

She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.

DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.

How about Deutch?
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beesley
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« Reply #21 on: February 25, 2021, 03:55:05 AM »

The two new seats might both be lean R, but districts 25, 26, and 27 are gonna have to be condensed into Miami and may become more dem leaning, even with the Cuban shift. leaning. FL-27 especially, I think it would elect any Democrat not named Shalala anyways as it stands. I don't think Fried will do this, but she is from South Florida, so the opportunity may be there.
White lady from FTL is not gonna run for Congress in a Dade seat.

She could wait for Wasserman Schultz to retire.

DWS is only in her mid-50s, so it might be a while before a Safe D white-plurality Broward seat opens up.

How about Deutch?

54. Lois Frankel is 72 but her current district is only Palm Beach County.
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