PA congressional districts 2020: congress vs. Biden

[wbrocks67]

Thought it'd be interesting to see which ones overperformed and outperformed Biden

PA-01
Biden 52.4% / Trump 46.6% (Biden +5.8 )
Fitzpatrick 56.6% / Finello 43.4% (Fitzpatrick +13.2)

PA-04
Biden 61.5% / Trump 37.4% (Biden +24.1)
Dean 59.5% / Barnette 40.5% (Dean +19.1)

PA-05
Biden 65.1% / Trump 34.0% (Biden +31.1)
Scanlon 64.7% / Pruett 35.3% (Scanlon +29.4)

PA-06
Biden 56.9% / Trump 41.9% (Biden +15.8 )
Houlahan 56.1% / Emmons 44.0% (Houlahan +12.1)

PA-07
Biden 51.8% / Trump 47.0% (Biden +4.8 )
Wild 51.9% / Scheller 48.1% (Wild +3.8 )

PA-08
Trump 51.7% / Biden 47.3% (Trump +4.4)
Cartwright 51.8% / Bognet 48.2% (Cartwright +3.6)

PA-10
Trump 50.7% / Biden 47.8% (Trump +2.9)
Perry 53.3% / Depasquale 46.7% (Perry +6.6)

PA-16
Trump 58.7% / Biden 40.0% (Trump +18.7)
Kelly 59.3% / Gnibus 40.7% (Kelly +18.6)

PA-17
Biden 50.7% / Trump 48.0% (Biden +2.7)
Lamb 51.2% / Parnell 48.9% (Lamb +2.3)

[wbrocks67]

The fact there were more ticket splitters in PA-04 than PA-07 surprises me tbh.

Meanwhile, Biden/Scanlon voters were pretty exclusive with little crossover, while a bit of ticket splitting in PA-06 is not surprising since there are many Biden Republicans there.

Perry outperforming Trump is extremely unfortunate, given how extremist he is.

And for all the talk of Lamb "underperforming" he nearly matched Biden's performance in a district Trump won in 2016.

[wbrocks67]

Cartwright's result is so impressive (as is Fitzpatrick's, of course)

What's the story with PA-10? Is that a district trending towards or away from Dems?

The most Dem-trending part of the state last year.  Biden improved dramatically over Clinton. 

Yeah, it's a weird district. Biden improved considerably on Clinton, but despite Trump only winning by 3, Perry did a decent amount better than 2018. Which is odd, since again Perry is way too extreme for that district. But I think it's definitely doable in the future for Democrats, especially with the Harrisburg suburbs trending blue.