I think the Trump campaign gave up on Arizona because Mark Kelly was blowing it out the water in the senate race polling. At one point 538 rated Arizona senate seat safer for Democrats than Colorado! This was a mistake, one more visit might’ve won him Arizona.
Trump was right to ignore Texas, Iowa, and Ohio. TBH having to contest these states means he’s already lost so the right strategy was assume the polls are wrong and go all in on Pennsylvania. And it almost worked.
I think Trump was wrong to abandon Michigan. The final margin was pretty close. More money and visits could have flipped it. Internal polling for the Democrats showed a close race, that’s why Obama and Biden visited in the last week. In hindsight Trump should have made that push
To summarize, Trump was right about FL, TX, IW, OH, NC, NV and PA. His campaign was wrong about WI, MI, MN, GA, and AZ
Kinda weird that Trump had a boner for Minnesota yet abandon Wisconsin. 2020 ended up being a near repeat of 2016 for WI yet MN shifted to the left.
I agree Trump should have invested more on Michigan, if not for himself then at least for John James.
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