Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
Posts: 27,547
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« on: July 30, 2006, 11:42:13 AM » |
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Remember, Tennessee experienced a number of demographics changes in Central Tennessee during the 1990s (esp. the growth of Nashville suburbs) that changed the state from being a toss-up type state to a lean Rep state or likely Rep state in national elections.
In comparison to national numbers, the stats look like this:
2004: Bush +13
2000: Bush +5 (with homestate advantage to Dems)
1996: Dole +7
1992: About even (right at national average)
1988: Bush +8
1984: Reagan -2
1980: Reagan -9
1976: Ford -11
1972: Nixon +15 (for amusement)
The one number I can't explain away with this theory is 1988 to 1992, but it works well otherwise. Dukakis didn't play well in the South anywho.
Maybe they just don't like New England liberals. It's a good explanation for the oddities.
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