How will the so-called "inroads" the gop made with minorities affect the 2024 primaries?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 05:26:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  How will the so-called "inroads" the gop made with minorities affect the 2024 primaries?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How will the so-called "inroads" the gop made with minorities affect the 2024 primaries?  (Read 697 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,963


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 18, 2021, 12:38:57 AM »

Let's say the share of the gop primary vote that is hispanic in 2024 balloons upward compared to 2016.

what gop faction/type of candidate would these new hispanic GOPers gravitate towards?
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,833


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2021, 06:54:35 AM »

The GOP will go back to their normal minority numbers after they lose the interest of toxic masculine minorities who loved Trump’s scummy attitude
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2021, 07:16:51 AM »

The GOP will go back to their normal minority numbers after they lose the interest of toxic masculine minorities who loved Trump’s scummy attitude

This is such a widespread ignorant take that both covers electoral wishfulness and artificial explanation for past loss. Your implication is that some minorities are so personally terrible that they are attracted to a bloviating narcissist, but that they would come back to voting Democratic because? Democrats are usually the toxicly masculine ones? Becuase they are repelled by more traditional politicians? Nothing makes sense about this. Spoken like someone who's never talked to a non-white Republican. Not to mention, if it was Trump's attitude, why didn't most of them vote for him the first time?
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,901
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2021, 07:20:45 AM »

The GOP will go back to their normal minority numbers after they lose the interest of toxic masculine minorities who loved Trump’s scummy attitude

This is such a widespread ignorant take that both covers electoral wishfulness and artificial explanation for past loss. Your implication is that some minorities are so personally terrible that they are attracted to a bloviating narcissist, but that they would come back to voting Democratic because? Democrats are usually the toxicly masculine ones? Becuase they are repelled by more traditional politicians? Nothing makes sense about this. Spoken like someone who's never talked to a non-white Republican. Not to mention, if it was Trump's attitude, why didn't most of them vote for him the first time?
They just won't come back to the polls. Outside of Miami-Dade, Biden total votes with hispanic probably exceeded clintons and in fact there turnout increase probably netted him more votes than the fall in margins.

You can look at this in the RGV where Hegar won several counties biden lost in the RGV simply due to trump-only voters not bothering to vote in races down the ballot despite falling behind biden by 4 points overall in Texas.

I have no idea why republican are acting like this is the start of some-sort of permenant realignment, Bush did far better with hispanics and that didn't mark the start of anything. Why should this ?
Logged
PSOL
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 18, 2021, 11:46:46 AM »

Most of the gains are from socially disenfranchised voters and business owners. Generally they are attracted to far-right rhetoric, so they will vote accordingly.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,058


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 18, 2021, 01:47:06 PM »

I think the inroads could be sustainable if they stick to an economy-focused message like Trump's was in 2020. If they revert back to the 2016 white victimhood platform while Democrats find a coherent and inclusive platform then I think they'll lose a lot of the gains they made with minorities, though I don't think that Democrats will manage to get back to Obama or Clinton numbers with Hispanics.
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,833


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2021, 02:31:23 PM »

The GOP will go back to their normal minority numbers after they lose the interest of toxic masculine minorities who loved Trump’s scummy attitude

This is such a widespread ignorant take that both covers electoral wishfulness and artificial explanation for past loss. Your implication is that some minorities are so personally terrible that they are attracted to a bloviating narcissist, but that they would come back to voting Democratic because? Democrats are usually the toxicly masculine ones? Becuase they are repelled by more traditional politicians? Nothing makes sense about this. Spoken like someone who's never talked to a non-white Republican. Not to mention, if it was Trump's attitude, why didn't most of them vote for him the first time?
Because they never voted Democrat in the first place. They just didn’t vote. Don’t be surprised to see Republicans get less minority votes in 2024
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.212 seconds with 12 queries.