Who is the strongest Republican AOC can beat?

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Either someone really extreme like MTG or Boebert or someone boring and uncharismatic like Larry Hogan.

Larry Hogan would destroy her. Suburbs would run back to the GOP in droves. Sure he probably wouldn’t get the rural turnout Trump did, but it’s not like they’re gonna vote for AOC! She would get McGoverned.

1. Hogan will never be nominated
2. Suburbs won't run back to the GOP in droves, because the GOP would still be the party of Trump
3. The cultists only want their emperor, not some wannabe emperor - traitor who's more like Clinton than their emperor himself.

Hogan would also move to mainstream GOP positions because he's not dumb, he realizes that too. He would certainly not be a Phil Scott / Charles Baker - tier candidate. He would be another Bush / Romney-kind of candidate. But he would never be able to shore up turn-out the way Trump did, and the suburbs won't return. The only reason why Hogan wouldn't be destroyed, is that they would be afraid of a AOC presidency. That's the only reason, although some other people (former GOP's) might even like the change in position from the Democratic Party, and think it's time for change, as she will be the more populist candidate.

Different dynamic, but I think AOC is favoured, and should even hope for someone like Hogan to be the nominee lol (although if he becomes the nominee, it would indicate he has some strengths).

AOC - MTG is much more likely to ever happen.

[Bootes Void]

Either someone really extreme like MTG or Boebert or someone boring and uncharismatic like Larry Hogan.

Larry Hogan would destroy her. Suburbs would run back to the GOP in droves. Sure he probably wouldn’t get the rural turnout Trump did, but it’s not like they’re gonna vote for AOC! She would get McGoverned.

No she wouldn't, the nation is far too polarized for that kind of blowout.

She would win all the Democratic strongholds, but by less than Biden or Hillary, and all of the competitive states would go to Hogan, including states like New Hampshire and Maine at large.

McGovern lost by 23%, she would lose, but not by that amount. She would not get "McGovern'd."

Hence the reason I said she would still win the Democratic strongholds. But against a reasonable Republican like Hogan, AOC would lose by as much as a candidate in the polarized era can lose by.

Larry Hogan is not some Republican titan. Most of the base doesn't give a rats ass about him, turnout in conservative areas would be way down and the race would be a tossup or lean D.

Ever heard of negative partisanship? Turnout would not be down at all.