Rate AZ-GOV
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March 28, 2024, 06:34:43 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Poll
Question: Rate AZ-GOV
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Tilt R
 
#6
Lean R
 
#7
Likely R
 
#8
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Rate AZ-GOV  (Read 747 times)
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: 0.39, S: -5.39

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« on: February 18, 2021, 10:23:04 PM »

I'd say Tilt R based on fundamentals.
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I’m not Stu
ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2021, 10:31:42 PM »

Which Republicans are running? If the Republican nominee is a candidate like Kelli Ward or Paul Gosar, I believe a Democrat wins. Mark Brnovich would make it more competitive.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
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E: -3.48, S: -5.04

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« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2021, 11:08:54 PM »

It really depends on who ends up running.

I'll go Tilt R, which is still a big improvement from 2018
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LeBron
LeBron FitzGerald
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2021, 11:52:34 PM »

Tilt D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Posts: 87,798
Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2021, 12:17:15 AM »

We haven't heard much about it and AGA doesn't like making bold Predictions
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2021, 10:10:47 AM »

Ruben Gallego seems like a strong candidate, and the AZ GOP has no good candidates.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2021, 10:12:47 AM »

Pure tossup/tilt R.

That said, Dems should absolutely invest in taking this seat.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2021, 11:25:21 AM »

All depends on whether the AZ GOP nominates a wacko which is likely because they’re led by one lol

Tilt R I guess
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beesley
Junior Chimp
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E: -4.52, S: 2.61

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« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2021, 01:57:18 PM »

Ruben Gallego seems like a strong candidate, and the AZ GOP has no good candidates.

I would've thought Stanton was the likelier candidate.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #9 on: February 21, 2021, 03:16:25 PM »

Lean D

The AZGOP is a bunch of weirdos
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #10 on: February 21, 2021, 07:07:37 PM »

Ruben Gallego seems like a strong candidate, and the AZ GOP has no good candidates.

I would've thought Stanton was the likelier candidate.
Eh, Stanton has only been a Rep for 2 years.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: February 21, 2021, 07:31:49 PM »

D Gain
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: February 21, 2021, 07:34:14 PM »

Ruben Gallego seems like a strong candidate, and the AZ GOP has no good candidates.

I would've thought Stanton was the likelier candidate.
Eh, Stanton has only been a Rep for 2 years.

Yeah but he was Mayor of Phoenix which is arguably a more important job.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: February 21, 2021, 07:43:28 PM »

I'll say Lean R; Arizona seems more Republican at the state level than the federal level, and it's a Biden midterm after all.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: February 21, 2021, 07:43:57 PM »

Tossup to tilt R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: February 21, 2021, 07:57:13 PM »

D's need to be bold, this is our last opportunity to gain seats before the Senate map flip to Rs
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