GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Sir Mohamed]

Perdue is the king of suburbs and will absolutely go back to pre-Trump levels. Warnock is toast. /s

[Sir Mohamed]

It's probably going to be Doug Collins for the GOP. Anyway, Tilt D -> Tilt D

[Sir Mohamed]

MTG will not run.

She’d be severely DOA if she did. Probably for the best.

As for the GE, yup. Not in a GOP primary. She'd very likely be favored in latter.

[Sir Mohamed]

This seat is not safe in a 51/49 Senate Herschel Walker leads WARNOCK 47/45 and Gov Kemp reduced access to Runoff VBM

Imagine thinking Trafalgar is a legit firm...

They aren't, but were more accurate than Quinnipiac in 2020. As embarrassing as it is.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL... what's the difference between "endorsement" and "complete and total endorsement"?

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm still thinking Warnock narrowly wins.

Very well possible, especially with Abrams's turnout machine. Kelly is much more likely to lose in AZ imho.

[Sir Mohamed]

Jesus, Warnock raised $5.6 million just in the month of April

https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/warnock-continues-his-staggering-fundraising-streak/XHFYDPGDJJDXDDXOEI45V2CKQA/

He and Kelly are some fundraising supertitans.

For sure a reason for optimism, though they're still running in an unfavorable national climate. Wouldn't be the first time the candidate with insane amounts of money still loses. Both remain highly competitive though and can go either way.

[Sir Mohamed]

I would love for GA-SEN 2022 to be a bit of a reverse FL-SEN 2018 but the thing is I'm not too sure if Walker is a Nelson and Warnock is a Scott.

A VA-SEN 2014 would be a better equivalent should Warnock narrowly prevail.

[Sir Mohamed]

Walker acting as if "no one is talking about" abortion rights is a.... choice. Especially for suburban constituencies.

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1550217257774637057

I know, it's probably not a very popular opinion here and I'd love to be proven wrong, though I'm not fully convinced Roe / abortion is a deciding issue here. Sure, almost anybody has an opinion on abortion, though the issue itsself just affects a very limited number of people in their daily lives. On the other hand, inflation and affordability affects pretty much anyone.

I still consider Warnock a slight favorite because he's a strong candidate, I would just not bank on the abortion debate to save him. Dems must talk rising prices and other kitchentable issues.

[Sir Mohamed]

Walker is the most competent Republican Senate candidate this entire cycle...no contest.

Dr. Oz likes to have a word with you.

[Sir Mohamed]

Regardless of the environment, it's very clear to me after these specials that Walker has a near zero chance of winning the runoff. One of ME/NM/OR/MN Governor flipping is more likely than Walker winning the runoff

I believe a major factor may be whether senate control is decided by the runoff again or not. If not, the minority side may just not bother to turn out. So I'd rather have the deal sealed on November 9 for a Dem senate that consists 51 or more seats.

[Sir Mohamed]

Really playing that victim card and making sure that bar is as low as possible.

https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1571855217452351488

I think he tries to play the anti-elitism-card with that. Not sure it works that way.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/SpiroAgnewGhost/status/1578411443182977024

LOL, imagine being too toxic for Trump.

[Sir Mohamed]

Do we get a few polls for the runoff soon?

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1597238626349457415

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1597567950562672640

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/christos_ioa/status/1598174684184707072

That can't be serious?

[Sir Mohamed]

RIP Walker, this is what happens when you nominate horrible and completely unqualified candidates.

51 seats at least gives us a fighting chance for the 2024 map.