GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/GabrielSterling/status/1600255651598323712

[skbl17]

The needle lives:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1600271675890708481

[Baki]

Has Atlas crashed?

[Gass3268]

Pretty good here

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1600271041917382656?s=46&t=w3NORSfwj4m...

[Dani Rose]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

[Baki]

Rafensberger said on CNN that as of 6pm ED turnout was at around 1.33m.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Rafensberger said on CNN that as of 6pm ED turnout was at around 1.33m.

Hm. So significantly higher share of ED vote than in the general. Not particularly surprising given the shorter window. We're gonna have to see how it breaks down geographically and demographically (but I doubt we'll get that data before the actual vote results, so the point is moot).

[UncleSam]

Rafensberger said on CNN that as of 6pm ED turnout was at around 1.33m.

So basically we can't call the election for Warnock...yet. Walker would need to seriously overperform with ED voters, but there's a path at ~1.4m ED voters. There was no path for him at ~1.1-1.2m, as some had predicted.

[pppolitics]

The needle lives:

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1600271675890708481

Would someone with a NYT subscription gift me the link?

[skbl17]

Would someone with a NYT subscription gift me the link?

There isn't a paywall on my end, and I haven't had a NYT subscription in years. Unless I'm misreading your post lol

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/06/us/elections/results-georgia-us-senate-runoff.html

[Baki]

2 things I didn't see mentioned:
- Some precincts in Fulton opened late so will stay open until 7.20
- a judge extended the deadline for receiving ABM ballots to Dec 9 in Cobb co.

[Mike88]

In the CNN coverage, in the background it said CNN Exit poll. Not sure if this is just a costume image or something real.

[Not Me, Us]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

[Utah Neolib]

In the CNN coverage, in the background it said CNN Exit poll. Not sure if this is just a costume image or something real.

LEAKED RESULTS

[It’s so Joever]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

Water (thanks morning final tomorrow)

[Utah Neolib]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

Room temperature water (cold water is too good to have on election night)

[Alben Barkley]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

A couple of vodka and tonics, to get me on my feet again.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

Got myself some Johnnie Walker black label.

[Alben Barkley]

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

Tea, as always

[GeorgiaModerate]

Polls have closed, although as always voters in line at 7pm will still be allowed to vote.

[Adam Griffin]

Rafensberger said on CNN that as of 6pm ED turnout was at around 1.33m.

Based on my assumptions and calculations combined, this is probably about the best turnout Walker could hope for (based on my belief that if it were meaningfully higher, it would be due to metro ATL Democrats avoiding EV lines and waiting to vote on ED; lower and there'd be no feasible way for Walker to get enough to overcome Warnock's EV margin).

[Adam Griffin]

200k+ Fulton votes incoming.

[Alben Barkley]

Peanut man better win. Imagine if they had called it for him at poll closing.

[Dani Rose]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

Got me a Captain Pepper, so basically that but Dr. Pepper and Captain Morgan instead. Gonna top that with tea after.