GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[QAnonKelly]

[AndyHogan14]

While I think Warnock would beat Perdue, I would have to imagine that a theoretical Ossoff-Perdue Senate delegation would pass Baldwin-Johnson in terms of pure hatred between the two.

[Podgy the Bear]

The George Allen of Georgia.

More like Guy Millner.  Old time Georgians know what I'm talking about.

[brucejoel99]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

There’s not even funny to say about it anymore, this is just a weird obsession with this state.

Alternatively, a combination of masochism, self-reverse psychology, & superstition.

[Horus]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

I’ll say it one final time:

Georgia is not happening.

Period. It’s not.

Texas? Unlikely but maybe. Ohio? On a goodnight probably. Iowa? Can def see it

Georgia? NOT HAPPENING. Dems will go 0 for 3 there

[South Dakota Democrat]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

Forgive us if we don't take you seriously.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are favored to win the Gov race and Senate race, D's in GA don't want Perdue back

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Perdue needs to 🛑 the sour 🍇, 2022 isn't going to be a GOP 🌊 .

[S019]

Unpopular? opinion: Perdue is probably one of the stronger GOP candidates out there and his entrance probably precludes a total crazy like Jody Hice or Marjorie Taylor-Greene winning the nomination. On the other hand, as we saw in 2021, crazy turnout in Georgia might fall if the candidate isn't sufficiently crazy, and Democratic favored trends, as well as the inelastic nature of the state, should make a Warnock a favorite. However, while Perdue may get lower rural turnout, he will not be utterly annihilated in the suburbs (I could see Democrats breaking 61% in Cobb and like 66% in Gwinnett if MTG was the nominee ). TL;DR, Lean D is fair for this, and the GOP won't be throwing it away immediately.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Unpopular? opinion: Perdue is probably one of the stronger GOP candidates out there and his entrance probably precludes a total crazy like Jody Hice or Marjorie Taylor-Greene winning the nomination. On the other hand, as we saw in 2021, crazy turnout in Georgia might fall if the candidate isn't sufficiently crazy, and Democratic favored trends, as well as the inelastic nature of the state, should make a Warnock a favorite. However, while Perdue may get lower rural turnout, he will not be utterly annihilated in the suburbs (I could see Democrats breaking 61% in Cobb and like 66% in Gwinnett if MTG was the nominee ). TL;DR, Lean D is fair for this, and the GOP won't be throwing it away immediately.

Perhaps Georgia is gonna be like Wisconsin where the only the most insane and conservative republicans can win statewide by energizing the crazy nut job conservative base.

[S019]

Unpopular? opinion: Perdue is probably one of the stronger GOP candidates out there and his entrance probably precludes a total crazy like Jody Hice or Marjorie Taylor-Greene winning the nomination. On the other hand, as we saw in 2021, crazy turnout in Georgia might fall if the candidate isn't sufficiently crazy, and Democratic favored trends, as well as the inelastic nature of the state, should make a Warnock a favorite. However, while Perdue may get lower rural turnout, he will not be utterly annihilated in the suburbs (I could see Democrats breaking 61% in Cobb and like 66% in Gwinnett if MTG was the nominee ). TL;DR, Lean D is fair for this, and the GOP won't be throwing it away immediately.

Perhaps Georgia is gonna be like Wisconsin where the only the most insane and conservative republicans can win statewide by energizing the crazy nut job conservative base.

Again this creates the issue of getting utterly nuked in suburban counties, if Democrats start breaking 60% in Cobb, Republicans cannot win the state, given the rurals are nearly maxed out for them.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Unpopular? opinion: Perdue is probably one of the stronger GOP candidates out there and his entrance probably precludes a total crazy like Jody Hice or Marjorie Taylor-Greene winning the nomination. On the other hand, as we saw in 2021, crazy turnout in Georgia might fall if the candidate isn't sufficiently crazy, and Democratic favored trends, as well as the inelastic nature of the state, should make a Warnock a favorite. However, while Perdue may get lower rural turnout, he will not be utterly annihilated in the suburbs (I could see Democrats breaking 61% in Cobb and like 66% in Gwinnett if MTG was the nominee ). TL;DR, Lean D is fair for this, and the GOP won't be throwing it away immediately.

Perhaps Georgia is gonna be like Wisconsin where the only the most insane and conservative republicans can win statewide by energizing the crazy nut job conservative base.

Again this creates the issue of getting utterly nuked in suburban counties, if Democrats start breaking 60% in Cobb, Republicans cannot win the state, given the rurals are nearly maxed out for them.

Yea, depends on how much the state trends. It could either end up as like Wisconsin or like Virginia

[Horus]

Unpopular? opinion: Perdue is probably one of the stronger GOP candidates out there and his entrance probably precludes a total crazy like Jody Hice or Marjorie Taylor-Greene winning the nomination. On the other hand, as we saw in 2021, crazy turnout in Georgia might fall if the candidate isn't sufficiently crazy, and Democratic favored trends, as well as the inelastic nature of the state, should make a Warnock a favorite. However, while Perdue may get lower rural turnout, he will not be utterly annihilated in the suburbs (I could see Democrats breaking 61% in Cobb and like 66% in Gwinnett if MTG was the nominee ). TL;DR, Lean D is fair for this, and the GOP won't be throwing it away immediately.

Perhaps Georgia is gonna be like Wisconsin where the only the most insane and conservative republicans can win statewide by energizing the crazy nut job conservative base.

Again this creates the issue of getting utterly nuked in suburban counties, if Democrats start breaking 60% in Cobb, Republicans cannot win the state, given the rurals are nearly maxed out for them.

Yea, depends on how much the state trends. It could either end up as like Wisconsin or like Virginia

Unless the Black vote zooms right (highly unlikely but not impossible), it's gonna be like Virginia. Way too many educated white people to stay a swing state for long.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA has changed, its not Safe R anymore

[Frenchrepublican]

The thing I fear is that as Perdue is a relatively strong candidate, or at least a credible one, the GOP will be tempted to throw a lot of money in this race, only to lose it by a small margin in the end.

[MillennialModerate]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

Forgive us if we don't take you seriously.

You’re forgiven lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

Forgive us if we don't take you seriously.

You’re forgiven lol

It won't be a strong R yr, since Biden approvals are at 50%, we did better in NC and GA than Iowa. Don't forget that we won 2 Runoffs and Rs were supposed to win them.

It looks like a neutral cycle, it goes by Prez approvals, Trump never had 50% approvals and never had Honeymoon



AA Traditionally don't vote in midterms, when Obama was Prez, they were complacent, here in the Special Election in CAli, with 3 strong AA recruits, AA are voting due to VBM.

AA won't be complacent due to VBM and with Warnock on the ballot

[Astatine]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is a drop off of turnout from 60%, in a Prez Election Obama Midterms it dropped to 33% not 47% in 2010, we did recover in 2014/ but it was a red Senate, that's why it will be Neutral Environment not an R cycle

The first midterm was devestating due to fact the D's were upset at Obamacare tax penalty, the Rs must realize that, going into 2022/ that they built up their Conservative Majority off of Obamacare repeal and they didn't even do it

[Pollster]

McConnell probably wants him to run to prevent MTG from blowing the race for the party from the outset, dragging down the ticket in the process, and potentially becoming a national problem, even if Perdue himself ultimately doesn't win.

[coloradocowboi]

(I realize no one is listening)

But in a strong R year, this race is Lean R right now depending upon how fast Georgia is trending blue

Perdue was the only one that would make this Lean R

Nobody is listening because your opinion is completely baseless.

This race is anything but Lean R right now. Warnock won it just a month ago lol.

And Perdue is the only R who could win? He is one of the few Rs in recent history to lose statewidee in Georgia. Not saying it's a slamdunk for Warnock, but I think it's just bizarre to assume he loses to another loser because of a hunch lol

[brucejoel99]

Politico's reporting that Loeffler (& obviously Collins) are also considering challenges against Warnock:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/15/perdue-2022-warnock-georgia-469075

Loeffler is also considering running again in a rematch against Warnock, as is former Rep. Doug Collins (R-Ga.), who finished third in the special election in November.

A Perdue vs. Loeffler vs. Collins vs. MTG primary would be completely f**king insane. How do y'all think it would turn out?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Politico's reporting that Loeffler (& obviously Collins) are also considering challenges against Warnock:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/15/perdue-2022-warnock-georgia-469075

Loeffler is also considering running again in a rematch against Warnock, as is former Rep. Doug Collins (R-Ga.), who finished third in the special election in November.

A Perdue vs. Loeffler vs. Collins vs. MTG primary would be completely f**king insane. How do y'all think it would turn out?

Loeffler would finish in a very distant fourth because she lost to Warnock already and was never in good graces with the GOP base. Perdue I think finishes second by winning most of the establishment R's. Collins and MTG split the Trumpist R's. Collins gets 1st, MTG 3rd.

Collins 34%
Perdue 30%
MTG 28%
Kelly 8%

[Astatine]

Politico's reporting that Loeffler (& obviously Collins) are also considering challenges against Warnock:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/15/perdue-2022-warnock-georgia-469075

Loeffler is also considering running again in a rematch against Warnock, as is former Rep. Doug Collins (R-Ga.), who finished third in the special election in November.

A Perdue vs. Loeffler vs. Collins vs. MTG primary would be completely f**king insane. How do y'all think it would turn out?

Loeffler would finish in a very distant fourth because she lost to Warnock already and was never in good graces with the GOP base. Perdue I think finishes second by winning most of the establishment R's. Collins and MTG split the Trumpist R's. Collins gets 1st, MTG 3rd.

Collins 34%
Perdue 30%
MTG 28%
Kelly 8%

Who would you expect to win the runoff between Collins and Perdue?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Politico's reporting that Loeffler (& obviously Collins) are also considering challenges against Warnock:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/15/perdue-2022-warnock-georgia-469075

Loeffler is also considering running again in a rematch against Warnock, as is former Rep. Doug Collins (R-Ga.), who finished third in the special election in November.

A Perdue vs. Loeffler vs. Collins vs. MTG primary would be completely f**king insane. How do y'all think it would turn out?

Loeffler would finish in a very distant fourth because she lost to Warnock already and was never in good graces with the GOP base. Perdue I think finishes second by winning most of the establishment R's. Collins and MTG split the Trumpist R's. Collins gets 1st, MTG 3rd.

Collins 34%
Perdue 30%
MTG 28%
Kelly 8%

Who would you expect to win the runoff between Collins and Perdue?

Doug Collins. Collins will get most of MTG's support, and Perdue most of Loeffler's support