Rate MN-AG 2022
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Author Topic: Rate MN-AG 2022  (Read 632 times)
LiberalDem19
Jr. Member
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Posts: 486


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26

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« on: February 10, 2021, 11:30:18 PM »
Keith Ellison will likely be running for re-election and on one hand...


-He won by 4 in a very good year to be a Democrat against an evangelical nutcase

-He is controversial on account of being Keith Ellison

-Some of the COVID stuff might hurt him by a few points

-It's a midterm with a Democratic President


On the other hand...

-Said evangelical nutcase is running again and might be the nominee (and the evangelical stuff doesn't play so well in the Twin Cities, the regional centers, or on the Iron Range)

-He's done some good things around consumer protections that made the news

-Minnesota seems to like Democratic Attorney Generals

-The MN GOP is extremely incompetent when it comes to statewide races


Not mentioning the Floyd case because it could be a wild card. There's also the question of if the GOP fields a legal marijuana candidate to rat the DFL
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2021, 12:12:54 AM »
Quote from: LiberalDem19 on February 10, 2021, 11:30:18 PM
Keith Ellison will likely be running for re-election and on one hand...


-He won by 4 in a very good year to be a Democrat against an evangelical nutcase

-He is controversial on account of being Keith Ellison

-Some of the COVID stuff might hurt him by a few points

-It's a midterm with a Democratic President


On the other hand...

-Said evangelical nutcase is running again and might be the nominee (and the evangelical stuff doesn't play so well in the Twin Cities, the regional centers, or on the Iron Range)

-He's done some good things around consumer protections that made the news

-Minnesota seems to like Democratic Attorney Generals Attorneys General

-The MN GOP is extremely incompetent when it comes to statewide races


Not mentioning the Floyd case because it could be a wild card. There's also the question of if the GOP fields a legal marijuana candidate to rat the DFL
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Captain_Tom
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Posts: 17
United States


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« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2021, 07:30:50 PM »
Quote from: LiberalDem19 on February 10, 2021, 11:30:18 PM
Keith Ellison will likely be running for re-election and on one hand...


-He won by 4 in a very good year to be a Democrat against an evangelical nutcase

-He is controversial on account of being Keith Ellison

-Some of the COVID stuff might hurt him by a few points

-It's a midterm with a Democratic President


On the other hand...

-Said evangelical nutcase is running again and might be the nominee (and the evangelical stuff doesn't play so well in the Twin Cities, the regional centers, or on the Iron Range)

-He's done some good things around consumer protections that made the news

-Minnesota seems to like Democratic Attorney Generals

-The MN GOP is extremely incompetent when it comes to statewide races


Not mentioning the Floyd case because it could be a wild card. There's also the question of if the GOP fields a legal marijuana candidate to rat the DFL


Keith Ellison...
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,245
United States


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E: -8.65, S: -6.26

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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2021, 11:52:34 AM »
Lean D if Chauvin is convicted
Tilt R if he is acquitted
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2021, 02:12:31 PM »
Forgetting about the trial and riots, for reasons discussed in previous threads, the only thing that will keep this seat in Democratic hands is the continued drooling malfeasance of the so-called political organization that is the Minnesota Republican Party
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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Posts: 2,042


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E: -2.06, S: 3.13

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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2021, 02:36:03 PM »
It’s MN and he’s a DFL. Likely D
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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Posts: 2,279
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2021, 04:50:45 PM »
Quote from: LiberalDem19 on February 10, 2021, 11:30:18 PM
Keith Ellison will likely be running for re-election and on one hand...


-He won by 4 in a very good year to be a Democrat against an evangelical nutcase

-He is controversial on account of being Keith Ellison

-Some of the COVID stuff might hurt him by a few points

-It's a midterm with a Democratic President


On the other hand...

-Said evangelical nutcase is running again and might be the nominee (and the evangelical stuff doesn't play so well in the Twin Cities, the regional centers, or on the Iron Range)

-He's done some good things around consumer protections that made the news

-Minnesota seems to like Democratic Attorney Generals

-The MN GOP is extremely incompetent when it comes to statewide races


Not mentioning the Floyd case because it could be a wild card. There's also the question of if the GOP fields a legal marijuana candidate to rat the DFL


To be fair, 6% went to liberal 3rd parties, and Wardlow is just your average republican
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
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Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2021, 06:36:33 PM »
Let's not forget a major factor in Ellison's close call in 2018 was the domestic violence allegations since them, allegations that have essentially disappeared from public discourse and which are now generally thought to be unsubstantiated.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2021, 11:12:05 AM »
Tossup

Whatever happens to the police trial, Ellison will take blame.....

The suburbs and rural areas are going to go R.......
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2021, 11:15:53 AM »
It probably begins as a strong Lean D race.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2021, 12:10:09 PM »
Tossup.
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beesley
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,140
United Kingdom


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E: -4.52, S: 2.61

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« Reply #11 on: March 07, 2021, 12:42:02 PM »
Lean D, not as safe as the governor's race (Likely/Safe D) but closer to that than Tossup.
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