2030 Electoral Map

[ottermax]

I got some different results when I allocated the votes for the 2030 estimates. I think I used the same method as the census, according to wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congressional_Apportionment

With this method, these are the changes:
CA: 55
TX: 40
FL: 36
NY: 24
NC: 16
KY: 8
CT: 7
ID: 5
NE: 5
MT: 4
DE: 4

The changes are slight, but the whole idea remains the same, the movement is from the Northeast, Great Lakes, and parts of the South.
With the way things are going, Nevada should be turning Democratic within time as it has been, and Arizona, Texas, and the Atlantic Southeast will become more competitive. If the Democratic party keeps a hold of their current states in the Northeast and Midwest, while taking advantage of new found liberals in other regions, the changes could be great.

[ottermax]

I got some different results when I allocated the votes for the 2030 estimates. I think I used the same method as the census, according to wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congressional_Apportionment

With this method, these are the changes:
CA: 55
TX: 40
FL: 36
NY: 24
NC: 16
KY: 8
CT: 7
ID: 5
NE: 5
MT: 4
DE: 4

The changes are slight, but the whole idea remains the same, the movement is from the Northeast, Great Lakes, and parts of the South.
With the way things are going, Nevada should be turning Democratic within time as it has been, and Arizona, Texas, and the Atlantic Southeast will become more competitive. If the Democratic party keeps a hold of their current states in the Northeast and Midwest, while taking advantage of new found liberals in other regions, the changes could be great.

Are these changes sompared to the map at the top of the thread? If so, they seem strange. In particular, consider DE which you have at 4 or 2 CDs. The 2030 projection is 1,013 K people for DE and that's only about 20% larger than the expected ideal CD at 835 K. They can't get a second CD based on that.

If you've applied the method in the Wiki article then you should be able to say when each state gets each seat, in order from 51 to 435. DE shouldn't be on that list.

I know it's weird, but that's what I got. I actually expected DE to have 1 CD (as well as MT) but those are the results I found.

[ottermax]

I did take a look at my math, and it appears I made an error somehow although I have no idea what I did, I think I apportioned it with either the wrong formula, or I just messed up my calculations somewhere.

[ottermax]

I just tried to figure out the apportionment for the CD's, so I didn't use D.C.