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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  2030 Electoral Map
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Author Topic: 2030 Electoral Map  (Read 18482 times)
jimrtex
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« Reply #25 on: September 10, 2006, 12:29:55 pm »

Reignman notfied me this is a more appropriate place for this topic, so I am putting it here:

How do you generate a map with a different number of EVs?
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Alcon
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« Reply #26 on: September 10, 2006, 01:04:17 pm »

How do you generate a map with a different number of EVs?

You see this in the code?

AL=1;8;6

It's:

State=Winner;EVs;Percent shade

Smiley
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jimrtex
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« Reply #27 on: September 10, 2006, 02:01:23 pm »

How do you generate a map with a different number of EVs?

You see this in the code?

AL=1;8;6

It's:

State=Winner;EVs;Percent shade

Smiley
Thanks.  See Political Geography/Demographics for why I wanted to know.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #28 on: December 07, 2006, 12:43:10 am »

I think that Florida will remain a battleground and Texas will become more competitive as the children of South American immigrants become more politically active.  Actually this is likely for the entire Southwest/Mountain West.    New Mexico has been decided by less than a percentage point in the past two elections.  Kerry made a 2 point gain in Nevada and a 5 point gain in Colorado (both states that voted Clinton in '92, Nevada again in '96) over Gore's vote %.  Arizona reamained stagnant for 2000 to 2004 but I think it could be a lot more competitive given a Democratic candidate that isn't from the Northeast.

Also, if the 2006 election is any indication, Virginia is stepping into the arena as a top teir battleground.  If the fast growing Georgia and North Carolina follow suit we could see the Democrats return to the South after a 70 year hiatus.
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tarheel-leftist85
krustytheklown
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« Reply #29 on: December 17, 2006, 03:18:18 am »

Dem.--153EV
Rep.--129EV
Toss-up--256EV

Dark--15+% Advantage
Med.--10-15% Advantage
Light--5-10% Advantage
Gray--<5% Advantage
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Harry
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« Reply #30 on: December 17, 2006, 05:41:12 pm »


I agree about MS turning tossup.  As older blacks die and younger blacks come into the voting age ranks, black turnout will go up and start to tip the state.
Remember that Kerry won a majority of the under 30's in MS.  Most of them will stick with us as they grow older.
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