TX-06: Dems in Disarray!

[Brittain33]

Share of population with a BA is significantly lower than any of the northern Metroplex districts which swung to Biden recently. Not likely to flip.

[Brittain33]

LOL at people saying this is a Lean R or possible pick-up for dems, zero chance.

R+8 in 2018 and R+9 in 2020, the narrative it was 51-48 for Trump doesn't mean anything, there was too much ticket-splitting in Texas.

Safe R, but I hope Dems spend burn some money!

GA-6 was R+23 in 2016.

Is that an apples to apples comparison with the 2018 and 2020 numbers for GA-6, though? 2018 and 2020 were good D years in Texas, 2018 more than 2020.

[Brittain33]

Will turnout be as abysmal as a normal TX special election? I mentioned this 1-2 weeks ago, but this is not a high education district.

[Brittain33]

Does anyone else remember when Marta Macias Brown tried to succeed her husband in San Bernardino and the local party blocked her?

[Brittain33]

That’s not his boot stepping in the bs, is it? Looks like a comp

[Brittain33]

What percentage of Texans actually fall for this cornball crap? I did see the video where Gov. Abbott celebrated March Madness by saying Texas is #1 in everything, so clearly he believes many of them do. But there must be plenty of normal, not ridiculous Republicans there.

[Brittain33]

I wonder who Madison Cawthorn will endorse in the primary, if he endorses a candidate.

I doubt he will, it’d be as effective and relevant as Manchin endorsing Murkowski

If Cawthorn endorses a candidate, I think he endorses Dan Rodimer.

As he should m

Big Dan is the only true Texan in the race and the only candidate to have ever received a Trump endorsement. It's unthinkable for Cawthorn to endorse anyone else; that's like endorsing Nancy Pelosi

[Brittain33]

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?

Horrible.

He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.

Wright is from Arlington

[Brittain33]

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?

Horrible.

He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.

Wright is from Arlington

I know. But I'm wondering if the TXGOP will be more confident about their prospects in this area without Trump in the White House.

They should feel confident. I know it was close, presidentially, but this district does not have the education profile of north Dallas districts. I don’t think it was ever at serious risk.

[Brittain33]

?

That if Dems don't contest the elections and don't have a party presence or bench in districts, they'll do worse than they would in a normal general or mid-term.

Also, 2022 is unlikely to be a 2018 environment for Dems.

[Brittain33]

I've just read in the main thread that the R/D overall party vote was 62/37 while Wright (R) won it by just 9 points (53/44) in 2020. This is like reverse GA-06 where the R candidate won by just 4 points (52/48) in 2017 in a district that had gone 62/38 to the incumbent just a few months earlier. While there's always many ways to explain such a movement, it definitely seems like a very bad omen for the democratic party's chances in 2022. This is even worse for the dems because this district is supposed to be trending their way (while GA-06 was already moving away from the GOP even prior to that result).

The difference is that the GA-6 special had enormous turnout from both parties who nationalized it while this was a low-turnout, multi-candidate special where the front-runner won with 15,000 votes.

Total votes cast:
GA-6, 2017 first round: 192,569
TX-6: 78,374 (NYT)

[Brittain33]

?

It tells us that you still haven’t kept your promise to leave Atlas for a year if Osoff and Warnock won.

We're going to have an enormous WELCOME BACK WOODBURY! thread and celebration in January 2022, aren't we?

[Brittain33]

After today, the only question now is whether Democrats lose 20 or 50 seats.

They aren’t gonna lose 50 seats as they don’t have the amount of seats currently to lose that much

Dems could EASILY lose 50 seats.

Dropping below 170 seats would give Democrats their smallest House caucus since the 1920s and be 20 fewer seats than after the 2014 rout. That's a bold call, Cotton.  

[Brittain33]

What a terrible year she’s having. It’s sad. She probably hasn’t properly had time to mourn since he only died in February.

[Brittain33]

The Freeper thread on this is great. Highly recommend:

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3979860/posts?q=1&;page=1

What you just posted was one of the most insanely idiotic threads I have ever read. At no point in the rambling, incoherent comments were they even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this thread is now dumber for having looked at it. I award the Freepers no points, and may god have mercy on their souls.

The comments complaining about Dems unfairly “crossover voting” when they shouldn’t have been allowed to vote at all are pretty insightful.