TX-06: Dems in Disarray!

[WIResident]

Fourth Serious Republican in. This is gonna be messy - especially since its initially a blanket primary.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1366372808452882433?s=20

Seems like this election is going to be the GA-06 of 2021.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Fourth Serious Republican in. This is gonna be messy - especially since its initially a blanket primary.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1366372808452882433?s=20

Seems like this election is going to be the GA-06 of 2021.

So you're saying whoever the top D performer is will beat Ted Cruz in 2024?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

it swung 2 pts dem from 2018 sen to 2020 prez and trended 5 pts dem

[Roll Roons]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

it's wild, not even the same place anymore as 10 years ago

[Calthrina950]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

snip

Also relevant: look at how Arlington has gotten quite a bit less red since 2016.

[Calthrina950]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

In fact, it appears that Pierson isn't running for Congress after all. This is good for Republican prospects in the district.

[MargieCat]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

In fact, it appears that Pierson isn't running for Congress after all. This is good for Republican prospects in the district.

It sounds like Brian Harrison is going to seize the MAGA Trump lane instead.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

In fact, it appears that Pierson isn't running for Congress after all. This is good for Republican prospects in the district.

Sounds like she’s running for another seat. Maybe against Allred?

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

In fact, it appears that Pierson isn't running for Congress after all. This is good for Republican prospects in the district.

Sounds like she’s running for another seat. Maybe against Allred?

Isn't he likley to get a sink?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Black south Dallas is spilling into Ellis

ellis county could be in the mid to high 50s% only for the gop within 20 years

Yeah, I didn't realize Ellis swung left that much. Republicans will still start out as favored in the special, but they could definitely lose this seat if they don't play their cards right.

Katrina Pierson is the kind of candidate who could very well lose this seat for Republicans. Republicans would be well advised to go with Susan Wright as their nominee.

In fact, it appears that Pierson isn't running for Congress after all. This is good for Republican prospects in the district.

Sounds like she’s running for another seat. Maybe against Allred?

Isn't he likley to get a sink?

No idea honestly, but of the Dallas-Forth Worth area democrats he’s the most vulnerable. Unless she plans to carpet bag downstate or primary and incumbent

[MargieCat]

Maybe she's planning on running in one of the newly established districts. Texas is getting 3, and at least 2 are supposed to be republican.

I wonder if she talks to republicans in the state legislature.

[Meatball Ron]

Lol

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1367240951643529219

[Meatball Ron]

Lol

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1367240951643529219

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367241604990464007?s=20

[MargieCat]

Lol

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1367240951643529219

What a weird move.

He should just run for senate/governor/AG in Nevada in 2022

[Pollster]

It looks like a lot of potential GOP candidates are staking everything on getting a Trump endorsement. I do wonder if we'll see the field narrow when/if he actually endorses, because at this rate they are seriously risking the possibility of a lockout.

[Stuart98]

Dan Rodimer is a literal vulture, wow. "Someone died, that's my queue to move into their district from another state to try and win their seat!"

[Oryxslayer]

So here's everyone who I might call 'serious:'

- Susan Wright (Rep), widow of Ron Wright, currently State Republican Executive Committee member, and beneficiary of mass legislative endorsements.

- Incumbent State Rep. Jake Ellzey (Rep), who previously ran against Wright in the 2018 primary and lost the runoff by 4.4%. He won both Ellis and Navarro counties during the runoff, but only 24.5K voters showed up. Currently represents State House seat #10, which covers all of Ellis and a bit of Henderson.

- Brian Harrison (Rep), former Department of Health and Human Services Chief of Staff in the Trump administration between 2019 and 2021.

- Sery Kim (Rep), Korean American and former assistant administrator for Trump's Small Business Administration.

- Jana Sanchez (Dem), former Journalist, DFW political organizer, and 2018 Democratic candidate for TX-06.

- Lydia Bean (Dem) former University teacher and 2020 candidate for Texas HD93 on the north side of Fort Worth.

- Shawn Lassiter (Dem), Fort Worth education nonprofit leader and previous candidate for the Fort Worth City Council.

The 'Non-Serious:'

- Dan Rodimer (Rep), WWE wrestler and carpetbagger from his previous race for NV-03 in 2020. Becomes serious with national backing.

- John Anthony Castro (Rep), previous 2020 primary challenger to Cornyn and local businessman with a plan to spend lots of personal money.

- Michael Wood (Rep), Marine Corps Veteran and anti-Trumpist.

- Jennifer Garcia Sharon (Rep) 2020 GOP Candidate for TX-35, Austin resident.

- Mike Egan (Rep) former Green Beret officer and local businessman.

- Michael Ballantine (Rep), Arlington lecturer and businessman.

- Monty Markland (Rep), writer and producer.

- Asa Palagi (Rep), pervious 2020 Independent anti-lockdown candidate for the Washington Governorship.

- Travis Rodermund (Rep), Arlington Police Officer.

- Tammy Allison (Dem), Grand Prairie attorney.

- Daryl J. Eddings Sr. (Dem), Businessman.

- Matt Hinterlong (Dem), Dallas developer.

- Patrick Moses (Dem), Mansfield pastor and former police officer.

- Manuel R. Salazar (Dem), Realter.
 
- Chris Suprun (Dem), Paramedic.

- Brian Stephenson (Dem), systems engineer.

- Phil Gray (Lib), Property manager and developer.

- Adrian Mizher (Ind), Banker.



Overall, there's too many candidates to avoid a runoff, and it seems balanced enough to deny the chance at a lockout.

[beesley]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367241604990464007?s=20

That is possibly the stupidest thing I've read today.

[MargieCat]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367241604990464007?s=20

That is possibly the stupidest thing I've read today.

I got one better for ya.
https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367613304118644738

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367241604990464007?s=20

That is possibly the stupidest thing I've read today.

I got one better for ya.
https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367613304118644738

Ambitious pols take to open seats like cats to catnip.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Forget the clown car this is turning into a circus

[beesley]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367241604990464007?s=20

That is possibly the stupidest thing I've read today.

I got one better for ya.
https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1367613304118644738

Good grief, though the fact you have to file in Austin is also stupid.

[beesley]

Major, major development.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/542672-gop-candidate-in-texas-house-race-endorsed-by-fellow-korean-american-reps

California GOP Reps. Young Kim and Michelle Steel threw their support behind fellow Republican and Korean American Sery Kim in the race for Texas's sixth congressional district on Wednesday.

“I am proud to endorse Sery Kim for Congress and am confident she has the knowledge and experience needed to represent Texas’ 6th Congressional District," Young Kim said in a statement released exclusively to The Hill.

Steel highlighted Sery Kim's work in the Bush and Trump administrations, as well as her academic achievements in her endorsement.

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"Sery has proven that she is the best woman for the job," Steel said in the statement. "I look forward to serving with her in Congress."

Young Kim and Steel are among the first Korean American women to serve in Congress. The freshman congresswoman flipped Democratic seats in the onetime conservative stronghold of Orange County.

Sery Kim, a first-generation immigrant from Seoul, South Korea, said she was "honored" to receive endorsements from Steel and Young Kim.

The endorsements come after Sery Kim officially launched her campaign this week, pledging to take on the political establishment in Washington, D.C. She previously served as a as assistant administrator in the Office of Women's Business Ownership at the Small Business Administration under Trump.

Sery Kim highlighted her heritage in her campaign launch video.

"My parents immigrated here from Seoul, South Korea, when I was a child. They sometimes worked two jobs, three jobs, to put food on the table. And it’s here in Texas that I learned the value of sacrifice, hard work, resilience," she said.

The Texas Republican candidate joins a crowded field to replace the late Rep. Ron Wright (R-Texas), who died of the coronavirus earlier this year. A total of 23 candidates -- 11 Republicans and 10 Democrats -- have filed to run in the special election on May 1. Wright's wife, Susan, is also among the Republicans running to replace him.