TX-06: Dems in Disarray!
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  TX-06: Dems in Disarray!
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Author Topic: TX-06: Dems in Disarray!  (Read 23076 times)
Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #50 on: February 22, 2021, 05:56:52 AM »

Wow... people do realize that Trump was in the White House in 2017 and now he isn't but a Democrat is, right?
Do people realize that midterms aren't magical spells that brainwash people into voting one way. If you voted for Biden, nothing about the past few months would move you towards the GOP or make you less politically engaged.

Not sure you should bet on that, it has been a very consistent pattern  over the past few decades.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #51 on: February 22, 2021, 10:33:19 AM »

If Wright's wife is doing it, then it's probably a lost cause. But I wouldn't be surprised if Dems got close here.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #52 on: February 22, 2021, 10:38:24 AM »

We could very well have two instances of widow succession in the House, with Julie Letlow and Susan Wright taking their husband's seats. That would bring the number of currently serving widows in the House to three.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #53 on: February 22, 2021, 11:12:01 AM »

Will turnout be as abysmal as a normal TX special election? I mentioned this 1-2 weeks ago, but this is not a high education district.
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VAR
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« Reply #54 on: February 24, 2021, 05:27:08 AM »
« Edited: February 24, 2021, 06:31:56 AM by VAR »

Gov. Abbott picked May 1 for the special election. But May 1 is literally a Saturday.

Is this good or bad for turnout?

E: I forgot to mention the election will be similar to a jungle primary.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #55 on: February 24, 2021, 05:29:49 AM »

Gov. Abbott picked May 1 for the special election. But May 1 is literally a Saturday.

Is this good or bad for turnout?
Probably good, because it is on the weekend?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #56 on: February 24, 2021, 05:31:32 AM »

If Susie Wright runs, then this seat is just a smidge away from Safe R. It'd take a total miracle for Dems for them to win.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #57 on: February 24, 2021, 06:52:00 PM »

Wonder who's going to run in the special election?

Would this be a good seat for MJ Hegar to carpetbag over to?

LOL no
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Joseph Cao
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« Reply #58 on: February 26, 2021, 12:07:42 AM »

We could very well have two instances of widow succession in the House, with Julie Letlow and Susan Wright taking their husband's seats. That would bring the number of currently serving widows in the House to three.

I am somewhat surprised the number is so low. The only one currently serving who assumed her husband's seat in a special is Doris Matsui, if memory serves correctly. Her election wasn't even that long ago!
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #59 on: February 26, 2021, 12:24:33 AM »

We could very well have two instances of widow succession in the House, with Julie Letlow and Susan Wright taking their husband's seats. That would bring the number of currently serving widows in the House to three.

I am somewhat surprised the number is so low. The only one currently serving who assumed her husband's seat in a special is Doris Matsui, if memory serves correctly. Her election wasn't even that long ago!

Well, Matsui's husband, Bob Matsui, died on New Year's Day 2005, and the special election was held later that year. 2005, of course, is sixteen years ago. There haven't been any more recent examples of widow succession until now.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #60 on: February 26, 2021, 12:27:16 AM »
« Edited: February 26, 2021, 12:47:53 AM by Roll Roons »

We could very well have two instances of widow succession in the House, with Julie Letlow and Susan Wright taking their husband's seats. That would bring the number of currently serving widows in the House to three.

I am somewhat surprised the number is so low. The only one currently serving who assumed her husband's seat in a special is Doris Matsui, if memory serves correctly. Her election wasn't even that long ago!

Not Congress, but BettyLou DeCroce and Nancy Munoz hold their late husbands' old seats in the New Jersey State Assembly. Although it's slightly different because in New Jersey, replacements for vacant legislative seats are chosen by the county parties. Both of them were appointed when their husbands died, but have since won in their own right.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #61 on: February 26, 2021, 05:50:02 AM »

So yeah, a congressman passed away.

My condolences.




Anyways, back to race analysis.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #62 on: February 26, 2021, 10:53:30 AM »

Does anyone else remember when Marta Macias Brown tried to succeed her husband in San Bernardino and the local party blocked her?
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Pollster
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« Reply #63 on: February 28, 2021, 09:50:17 PM »

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Young Conservative
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« Reply #64 on: February 28, 2021, 09:56:19 PM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #65 on: February 28, 2021, 10:15:15 PM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
That's still in question.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #66 on: February 28, 2021, 10:31:42 PM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
That's still in question.
Not really. Seems almost certain that the GOP choices will be Wright and Pierson. Can't imagine anyone else putting up much of a fight given the resources these two will have.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #67 on: February 28, 2021, 10:35:39 PM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
That's still in question.
Not really. Seems almost certain that the GOP choices will be Wright and Pierson. Can't imagine anyone else putting up much of a fight given the resources these two will have.
It's not a safe-r seat, dems might win it.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #68 on: March 01, 2021, 12:59:29 AM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
That's still in question.
Not really. Seems almost certain that the GOP choices will be Wright and Pierson. Can't imagine anyone else putting up much of a fight given the resources these two will have.
It's not a safe-r seat, dems might win it.
its a likely R seat.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #69 on: March 01, 2021, 01:08:41 AM »


She's probably a better choice than Wright's wife.

I don't like when spouses or family members feel entitled to a seat because it belonged to their loved one.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #70 on: March 01, 2021, 01:44:00 AM »


She's probably a better choice than Wright's wife.

I don't like when spouses or family members feel entitled to a seat because it belonged to their loved one.

That's if you want a Trump sycophant filling the seat. Of course, given how most Republicans still can't seem to shake Trump off, I wouldn't expect much different from Wright. But I'd rather have someone who isn't directly affiliated with Trump or his administration than someone who is.
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MargieCat
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« Reply #71 on: March 01, 2021, 01:50:35 AM »


She's probably a better choice than Wright's wife.

I don't like when spouses or family members feel entitled to a seat because it belonged to their loved one.

That's if you want a Trump sycophant filling the seat. Of course, given how most Republicans still can't seem to shake Trump off, I wouldn't expect much different from Wright. But I'd rather have someone who isn't directly affiliated with Trump or his administration than someone who is.
So she'd fit in with the rest of the GOP house caucus. Minus about 10.
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Meatball Ron
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« Reply #72 on: March 01, 2021, 10:22:37 AM »


Trump is so weird in the fashion he rewards loyalty? Like one minor infraction and you're out but be loyal long enough and he'll endorse you over the dead congressman's widow? bizarre.

anyways, this seat is almost certain to be a good test of local politics versus Trump in the post presidency era since local politicos have all lined up behind Wright. Very good litmus.

Certainly going to add another woman to the GOP's historically female caucus though.
That's still in question.
Not really. Seems almost certain that the GOP choices will be Wright and Pierson. Can't imagine anyone else putting up much of a fight given the resources these two will have.

There's also a well-known State Senator, Jake Ellzey (ran for this seat in '18), as well as another Trump official (Brian Harrison @ HHS) as well as a handful of other lower-profile candidates from business / military. Some on Twitter are talking about a possibility of D vs. D runoff if there are far more GOP candidates, but I'd be surprised - the Dem candidates running look quite weak.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #73 on: March 01, 2021, 10:28:37 AM »

Yeah I don't think a lockout by either side would be that surprising here.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #74 on: March 01, 2021, 12:43:07 PM »

Fourth Serious Republican in. This is gonna be messy - especially since its initially a blanket primary.

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