TX-06: Dems in Disarray!
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  TX-06: Dems in Disarray! 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: TX-06: Dems in Disarray!  (Read 23370 times)
It’s so Joever
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« Reply #150 on: May 01, 2021, 02:57:17 PM »
Quote from: marty on April 30, 2021, 01:42:26 PM
This is absolutely grotesque


It’s okay to call Biden a genocidal communist dictator on airwaves in Miami for months, but this robocall isn’t? Interesting logic.
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Horus
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« Reply #151 on: May 01, 2021, 04:30:36 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 30, 2021, 01:17:47 PM
The anti-Trump wing in the R party is very small.

Wood will get 5% or so.

He’s seen as a traitor in the party.

He'll be lucky to get 5%. This isn't Vermont.
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #152 on: May 01, 2021, 05:43:10 PM »
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/05/01/us/elections/results-texas-house-district-6-special-election.html
NYT page is up
Hour and twenty until results.
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Benjamin Frank
Frank
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« Reply #153 on: May 01, 2021, 05:47:25 PM »
Quote from: marty on April 30, 2021, 01:42:26 PM
This is absolutely grotesque



Everybody knows Ted Cruz assassinated Ron Wright.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #154 on: May 01, 2021, 06:25:56 PM »
This may be pessimistic but how bad would that possibly hurt her? I'd imagine not much since most republicans would probably take it as a lie?
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #155 on: May 01, 2021, 07:02:59 PM »
Polls have closed.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #156 on: May 01, 2021, 07:09:16 PM »
Sanchez leads the early vote in Tarrant with 16.3%, followed by Wright with 14.65%. Most notable result is probably Ellzey on 10% since he is going to do better in the southern 2 counties.
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #157 on: May 01, 2021, 07:12:21 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 01, 2021, 07:09:16 PM
Sanchez leads the early vote in Tarrant with 16.3%, followed by Wright with 14.65%. Most notable result is probably Ellzey on 10% since he is going to do better in the southern 2 counties.


Jana Lynne Sanchez
Democrat
5,059   16.4%
Susan Wright
Republican
4,544   14.7
Shawn Lassiter
Democrat
3,469   11.2
Jake Ellzey
Republican
3,114   10.1
Total reported
30,904   
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #158 on: May 01, 2021, 07:14:53 PM »
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #159 on: May 01, 2021, 07:14:54 PM »
Right on cue, Ellzey takes the lead with the Ellis early vote. 30% of the vote from the part of the district in his HD. Currently Ellzey 15.6%, Wright 15.3%, Sanchez 14.3%.
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #160 on: May 01, 2021, 07:17:26 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 01, 2021, 07:14:54 PM
Right on cue, Ellzey takes the lead with the Ellis early vote. 30% of the vote from the part of the district in his HD. Currently Ellzey 15.6%, Wright 15.3%, Sanchez 14.3%.

Jake Ellzey
Republican
6,731   15.68%
Susan Wright
Republican
6,594   15.36
Jana Lynne Sanchez
Democrat
6,143   14.31
Brian Harrison
Republican
5,274   12.29
Total reported
42,928   
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #161 on: May 01, 2021, 07:18:47 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2021, 07:22:43 PM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: marty on May 01, 2021, 07:14:53 PM


Wright lost Tarrant in both 2018 and 2020, so Democrats losing it is a really bad sign for them.

Looks like a very good chance of an all-GOP runoff.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #162 on: May 01, 2021, 07:23:14 PM »
What are the odds of a democratic lockout ?
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Skunk
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« Reply #163 on: May 01, 2021, 07:31:02 PM »
The closeness of the 2018 Senate race really helped mask the incompetency of the Texas Democratic Party.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #164 on: May 01, 2021, 07:31:59 PM »
Predictit odds indicating a dem lockout

That’s very very annoying because I really wanted to see how this district would trend
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #165 on: May 01, 2021, 07:33:34 PM »
Final prediction: Ellzey vs Wright runoff
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #166 on: May 01, 2021, 07:33:39 PM »
Quote from: Liberal Hack on May 01, 2021, 07:23:14 PM
What are the odds of a democratic lockout ?

Who know with this many candidates? The fact that the top 4 candidates won about 77% out of Ellis's 12K EV vs 50% of Tarrant's 31K does mask the current fracturing of results.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #167 on: May 01, 2021, 07:35:58 PM »
Quote from: marty on May 01, 2021, 07:31:59 PM
Predictit odds indicating a dem lockout

That’s very very annoying because I really wanted to see how this district would trend

You can still see it based on the aggregate first round results.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #168 on: May 01, 2021, 07:36:14 PM »
Yikes, MASSIVE underperformance. Democrats in disarray but this time it’s real.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #169 on: May 01, 2021, 07:38:00 PM »
Higher propensity base is a myth!

It's over. November 8, 2022 is when America dies.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #170 on: May 01, 2021, 07:39:16 PM »
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #171 on: May 01, 2021, 07:39:27 PM »
This is proof enough to me it’s time to be unethical. We can’t play games anymore, one party is going to destroy America and only the low road will save her.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #172 on: May 01, 2021, 07:39:51 PM »
Quote from: May The Trends Gods Smile Upon Platte County on May 01, 2021, 07:38:00 PM
Higher propensity base is a myth!

It's over. November 8, 2022 is when America dies.


Isn't the dem base in this district Hispanic and AA voters? Those are low propensity voters.

Still a bad sign for Nov 2022, but I wouldn't get too concerned yet if I were dems
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #173 on: May 01, 2021, 07:42:39 PM »
https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2021/05/01/may-1-2021-tx-6-special-tx-mayoral-elections-primary-liveblog/
Precinct map for the special
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #174 on: May 01, 2021, 07:44:44 PM »
Imagine if TrendsAreUsuallyReal was still on here lol.
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