What year was 2020 a redux of in the end?
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  What year was 2020 a redux of in the end?
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Poll
Question: We’ve heard a lot about redux, but what does 2020 seem the most like to Atlas?
#1
1932
 
#2
1948
 
#3
1952
 
#4
1960
 
#5
1968
 
#6
1976
 
#7
1980
 
#8
1992
 
#9
2000
 
#10
2008
 
#11
2012
 
#12
2016
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: What year was 2020 a redux of in the end?  (Read 879 times)
Paul Biya isn’t going far enough
Forumlurker161
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« on: February 07, 2021, 02:58:47 PM »

Honestly I’m almost inclined to say 1968.
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EJ24
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2021, 03:14:03 PM »

I would say 92.

Biden's win in the primary mirrored Clinton's comeback, and the result in the general was primarily due to an incumbent who couldn't handle crisis (for HW Bush it was a recession, for Trump it was COVID).
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2021, 04:15:45 PM »

I would say 92.

Biden's win in the primary mirrored Clinton's comeback, and the result in the general was primarily due to an incumbent who couldn't handle crisis (for HW Bush it was a recession, for Trump it was COVID).
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Motorcity
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2021, 06:53:30 PM »

I don’t think 1980 was a redux of any year. It was too unique.

Never before had you had such a repulsive and incompetent president that had 40-45% of the country in a cult. Or a booming economy that comes to a literal halt.

I suppose the closest thing is 1968 because of the turmoil, but 1968 was the end of the new deal consensus. The current era of divisiveness is only going to get worst
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #4 on: February 07, 2021, 07:26:43 PM »

1976 with a splash of 1968 and 1992.
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It's Time.
Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #5 on: February 07, 2021, 08:42:31 PM »

1976. Corrupt old white man republican who makes some questionable pardons and is from a swing state loses to a white man democrat from the census-definition of the south by a very narrow margin. polls overestimate said democrat, and the elections comes down to a few thousand votes in a few states.
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Fusternino
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« Reply #6 on: February 07, 2021, 10:11:58 PM »

2016. A bunch of white guys who wouldn't vote for a white woman in 2016 voted for another white dude in 2020, turning a narrow EC loss into a narrow EC win.
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Orser67
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« Reply #7 on: February 07, 2021, 11:00:47 PM »
« Edited: February 07, 2021, 11:13:30 PM by Orser67 »

I'll say 1976. A challenger barely beat a fairly weak incumbent in a race where third parties were largely unimportant. And I'll add that both incumbents kinda felt like quasi-incumbents; for obvious reasons in Ford's case, and in Trump's case because he lost the popular vote, barely won the tipping point states, and it just generally felt like his win was a fluke. With all that said, Carter and Biden aren't great comparisons
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2021, 09:00:45 AM »

The outcome (winning party, PV margin, and margins in key states) was basically identical to 1948.
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