Mexico Legislative and Governor elections June 6th 2021

[Socani]

I think the accident in the 12th Metro line ended the political careers of both Ebrard and Sheinbaum respecting to the average person, Sheinbaum is trying to blame Mancera with the typical ''ThE PaSt GoVeRnMeNt CaUsEd AlL tHe FaIlUrEs'' but it isn't sticking with the General Public.

[Socani]

The House election results so far: (92% in)

42.6% Morena/PVEM/PT, 184 seats
39.9% PAN/PRI/PRD, 109
  7.0% MC, 7
10.5% Others/Invalid, 0

52.1% Turnout

Morena itself has lost its majority, right? That isn't a good result for Obrador as he's now dependent on his allies, right?

Results from here: https://expansion.mx/prep2021

They lost the qualified majority (For modifying the constitution) but they still have the majority in Congress by my calculations:

JHH (AMLO'S Coalition): 285
VxM (The opposition): 192
MC: 23

[Socani]

The House election results so far: (92% in)

42.6% Morena/PVEM/PT, 184 seats
39.9% PAN/PRI/PRD, 109
  7.0% MC, 7
10.5% Others/Invalid, 0

52.1% Turnout

Morena itself has lost its majority, right? That isn't a good result for Obrador as he's now dependent on his allies, right?


Results from here: https://expansion.mx/prep2021

They lost the qualified majority (For modifying the constitution) but they still have the majority in Congress by my calculations:

JHH (AMLO'S Coalition): 285
VxM (The opposition): 192
MC: 23

Yes, but Morena alone doesn't have a majority, like they did since 2018, right?

I think so because Morena alone has: 76 PR Seats, 64 FPTP candidates winning without a coalition and mostly half of winning candidates of the coalition (in the 80-85 range) are from Morena

The problem is the same as 2018, many from PVEM and PT will try to jump to MORENA.

[Socani]

I was able to map the alliance candidate party ID to derive

MORENA-PVEM-PT   118
   MORENA                   59
   PVEM                        27
   PT                            32

PAN-PRI-PRD         65
   PAN                         38
   PRI                          20
   PRD                           7

How exactly would one find the ID of those candidates running one the alliance lists for the districts? All PREP's I have checked have them listed as alliance candidates.

Here's for AMLO's coalition:

https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elecciones_federales_de_M%C3%A9xico_de_2021#/media/Archivo:Juntos_hacemos_historia_candidaturas.svg

Here's for the Opposition:

https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elecciones_federales_de_M%C3%A9xico_de_2021#/media/Archivo:Va_por_mexico_candidaturas.svg