Echelon Insights: Trump +7 over not-Trump, Pence leads Trumpless field
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Echelon Insights: Trump +7 over not-Trump, Pence leads Trumpless field
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Author Topic: Echelon Insights: Trump +7 over not-Trump, Pence leads Trumpless field  (Read 698 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: February 03, 2021, 12:44:08 PM »

https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/january-omnibus-impeachment-election/

Jan 20-26
Changes with December 2020
GOP + Lean subsample of 1006 registered voters total

'Would you like to see Trump run for president in 2024?'
Yes 45% (-20)
No 37% (+15)
Unsure 19% (+6)

'If the 2024 Republican primaries were being held today and you had to make a choice, how would you vote?'
Trump 48%
A different Republican candidate 40%
Unsure 11%

Their last proper primary poll was in August 2020, so that's what's being compared to the results below:
Pence 21% (-5)
Trump Jr. 10% (-2)
Haley 9% (+2)
Cruz 8% (+4)
Rand Paul 3% (not previously included)
Romney 3% (not previously included)
Tucker Carlson 2% (n/c)
Ron DeSantis 2% (not previously included)
Rubio 2% (-3)
Kasich 2% (-2)
Someone else 2% (-1)
Cotton 1% (-1)
Tim Scott 1% (n/c)
Pompeo 1% (not previously included)
Crenshaw 1% (-1)
Hogan <0.5% (-1)
Hawley <0.5% (n/c)
Greg Abbott <0.5% (not previously included)
Stefanik <0.5% (n/c)
Sasse <0.5% (n/c)
Unsure 30% (+1)

Lindsey Graham previously at 2%
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Vladimir Leninov
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2021, 02:26:54 PM »

Again, what have they changed in their polling from november, if the answer is nothing, then into the trash it goes
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2021, 08:16:01 PM »

I'm reading the Trump Jr. voters as the Trump fans that probably won't support any Republican but Trump in the future. I don't know if that's fair or not, but it's my gut feeling.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2021, 12:22:40 AM »

https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/january-omnibus-impeachment-election/

Jan 20-26
Changes with December 2020
GOP + Lean subsample of 1006 registered voters total

'Would you like to see Trump run for president in 2024?'
Yes 45% (-20)
No 37% (+15)
Unsure 19% (+6)

-20?  So the percentage of Republicans who want Trump to run again is dropping by 20 points a month?  Using my advanced math, I therefore forecast that 3 months from now, the percentage will have dropped to -15%.  So many Republicans will not want him to run again that only negative people will still want him back.
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