Early 2024 Presidential Ratings + 2022 (user search)
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  Early 2024 Presidential Ratings + 2022 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Early 2024 Presidential Ratings + 2022  (Read 10161 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,610
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

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« on: February 24, 2021, 06:13:43 PM »

!!!TOSSUPS INCLUDED!!!

2022 Ratings:

Governor:


  • Moved Texas from likely to lean after the power crisis; also due to potential for democrats to strongly overperform Lupe Valdez.
  • Moved South Dakota from lean to likely due to incumbency factor, but Noem's covid response and connections to Trump could make her slightly vulnerable.
  • Georgia is lean due to Abrams being favored over just about any republican nominee; but in this case, I'm assuming Kemp remains the republican nominee.

Senate:


  • Blunt seems to always win by a margin of less than 15%, and Missouri can be full of surprises sometimes, so I'm rating it as likely out of caution.

2024 Presidential Rating:


  • If I'm not confident in rating it one way or another, then it's a tossup. Simple as that.
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