Early 2024 Presidential Ratings + 2022

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Assuming Harris vs DeSantis

New Hampshire - D+5.8
Maine - D+4.9
New Mexico D+3.3
Minnesota D+2.5
Nevada D+2.2
Georgia - D+1.6
Michigan - D+1.1
Arizona - D+0.6
Wisconsin - R+0.2
Pennsylvania - R+1.6
North Carolina R+2.9
Alaska - R+3.7
Texas - R+4.8
Florida - R+9.3

Iowa, Colorado, Ohio and Virginia safe margin here. I also think if this scenario becomes true that Kansas will vote to the left of Iowa and perhaps Ohio.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Governor:



FLIPS:

Kansas: Schmidt 50%, Kelly 46%
Wisconsin: Duffy 50%, Evers 48%
New York: Someone Else 62%, Cuomo 38% (Cuomo in all likelihood does not win the primary)
Maryland: Democrat 51%, Rutherford 47%

If Cuomo becomes the nominee, Democrats deserve to lose, but I don't think he would lose re-election because braindead partisan voters will always back their party candidate no matter what.