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Poll
Question: What scared you more on election night 2020?
#1
The Miami-Dade results
 
#2
The 7-point margin in Ohio
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author Topic: Atlas Democrats...  (Read 996 times)
The People's Liberation Army of Rancho Cucamonga
John Dule
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« on: February 03, 2021, 05:52:11 AM »

Curious to see these results.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2021, 08:05:00 AM »

Miami-Dade because earlier on it looked as if Biden would do a tad better in OH than he actually ended up doing, so by the time I realized Trump was going to win OH by a large margin, it also seemed as if Biden would win.
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here2view
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2021, 08:49:48 AM »

Wasn't scared, but Miami-Dade.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2021, 09:05:20 AM »
« Edited: February 03, 2021, 12:03:38 PM by lfromnj »

Ohio had a Blue Mirage which didn't settle down till Wisconsin was also being settled down. Atlas Dems were actually optimistic on Ohio.

The Initial Atlas Reaction to Miami Dade was also kind of denial as people stated that was just the early vote and the ED vote would be more D or something, but me and Dr.RI looked at vote totals and said that was basically the whole dump. However reality set in quickly there and there was legitimate panic in a few minutes.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2021, 11:10:27 AM »

The two states went R due to fact there was no Senate race, I am endorsing Tim Ryan for Senate, this isn't Portman in 2016 that Rs make it out to be with Portman winning by 21 pts

Portman is a moderate on SSM and may vote for comprehensive Immigration Reform, but Conservative on the Environment where George Vonivich and Mike DeWine are McCain Mavericks on Eco and voted against ANWR

Whomever challenges Ryan isn't a maverick
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2021, 11:14:15 AM »

Florida because that was actually a state I thought Democrats would win, whereas I always believed Ohio was Likely R.
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Hammy
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2021, 06:54:07 PM »

Florida. Ohio I had figured would be somewhere in the R+5 to R+10 range.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2021, 09:33:43 PM »

When Miami Dade came in, I went into full panic mode and thought Trump had won.

When the Ohio disaster became clear, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Arizona had already been won, and I was feeling pretty optimistic.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2021, 10:41:40 PM »

A white nationalist improved among minorities, I am still stunned by that. Miami-Dade still shocks me to the core. Trump's basket of deplorables is filled with Neo Nazis, white nationalists and Neo Confederates.
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Chips
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« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2021, 10:44:35 PM »

Miami-Dade for sure.
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Harry
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« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2021, 11:38:35 PM »

Ohio didn't look that bad until it was clear that Biden was probably going to flip back WI/MI/PA and win the White House.

Miami was looking bad pretty early in the night.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2021, 12:42:11 AM »

Neither really.

Ohio certainly surprised me more, since we had been seeing Biden underperform badly among Florida Latinos is many, many polls before the elections.  And if I had seen the result in Ohio before any other results, I would have been pretty worried.  But the actual result in Ohio was not known until after it had become clear that Biden had won the election.

When I saw the Miami-Dade result, it was very clear quite early that Biden had lost Florida.  But he was still overperforming Clinton elsewhere in the state, which gave me confidence that Biden would still hang on in many other places where the Latino vote was much less significant.  And the exit polls in the Midwestern states about half an hour later made me totally comfortable in a Biden victory (although the ended up overstating Biden’s margin quite a bit).
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2021, 03:50:28 AM »

Miami-Dade easily. By the time the margin became more discernible in Ohio, it was clear that Biden would win the Electoral College. After Miami-Dade, I was mentally preparing myself for a Trump victory until Arizona got called, which is when I calmed down and realized Trump would lose.
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ponderosa peen 🌲
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« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2021, 09:53:07 AM »

Florida's gonna Florida. When I saw that Mahoning and Ashtabula shifted right on election night I thought another rural surge in western PA was going to give the state to Trump again. Those NE Ohio results had me going to sleep that morning thinking Trump would be re-elected.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #14 on: February 04, 2021, 10:10:19 AM »

I wouldn't say 'scared,' just deflated given the polls in the lead up to election day.

Miami-Dade, hands down.
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Da2017
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« Reply #15 on: February 04, 2021, 02:39:30 PM »

Miami Dade Result
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AGA
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« Reply #16 on: February 04, 2021, 04:36:22 PM »

Never thought Biden would win Ohio on election night.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #17 on: February 04, 2021, 04:51:35 PM »

Miami-Dade
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