Texas 2022 megathread
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Poll
Question: Current gubernatorial rating?
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tossup/tilt R
 
#5
Tossup/tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 245

Author Topic: Texas 2022 megathread  (Read 62437 times)
Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #250 on: September 22, 2021, 01:35:19 PM »

I take it this thread is gonna be nothing but comments regarding the gun line for the next year?

At this point "hell yes" is to Beto what "I'm not a crook" is to Nixon.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #251 on: September 22, 2021, 06:31:25 PM »

Texas Dems need to run someone who is tough but fair on immigration and someone who is not gaffe prone...

The gun thing was O'Rourke's only "gaffe" in about 3 years if IIRC....

It's a pretty big one for running in Texas though.

and it was over a year and half ago.

Americans do indeed have short-term memories, but the Republican Party doesn't and will use that against him. Guaranteed. And it may be enough for him to not have a chance at all.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #252 on: September 24, 2021, 12:34:49 AM »

Texas Dems need to run someone who is tough but fair on immigration and someone who is not gaffe prone...

The gun thing was O'Rourke's only "gaffe" in about 3 years if IIRC....

It's a pretty big one for running in Texas though.

and it was over a year and half ago.

Americans do indeed have short-term memories, but the Republican Party doesn't and will use that against him. Guaranteed. And it may be enough for him to not have a chance at all.

And there's so many other things to attack Beto on, so I hope republicans don't waste all their attack ad energy on just that one quote.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #253 on: September 24, 2021, 01:50:12 AM »

In a Neutral Environment TX isn't FL before FL, bit anything is possible in a yr, Beto is down 5 and Crist is down 3
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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #254 on: September 29, 2021, 08:09:51 AM »

https://www.ksat.com/news/texas/2021/09/29/matthew-dowd-former-george-w-bush-strategist-to-run-as-democrat-for-texas-lieutenant-governor/

Former Bush strategist Matthew Dowd running for Lt Gov as a Democrat. This should be interesting...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #255 on: September 29, 2021, 08:17:24 AM »

Gov race is Safe R since we haven't passed immigration reform and Border is out of control
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #256 on: September 29, 2021, 08:50:02 AM »


I doubt he'll get anywhere. Assuming he wins the primary, he'll almost certainly lose to Patrick.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #257 on: September 29, 2021, 12:12:59 PM »


Between this and Jennifer Rubin writing articles calling Afghanistan a failure from the start, the times sure have a-changed.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #258 on: September 29, 2021, 01:59:52 PM »


So basically a Lincoln Project democrat? Gotcha...


I doubt he'll get anywhere. Assuming he wins the primary, he'll almost certainly lose to Patrick.

So far the only other candidate is Mike Collier, who was the nominee for Lt Gov in 2018, where he lost to Patrick by 5.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #259 on: September 29, 2021, 02:02:34 PM »
« Edited: September 29, 2021, 02:11:41 PM by brucejoel99 »

All media outlets reporting on this news are referring to him as an ex-W. strategist (because, y'know, he was literally the W. re-elect's chief strategist), except for Fox, who are referring to him as a "left-wing pundit." So, y'know, Fox journalism!

In any event, a friend of a friend is his campaign manager, so here's hoping that he has a chance!!
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #260 on: September 29, 2021, 03:47:06 PM »

All media outlets reporting on this news are referring to him as an ex-W. strategist (because, y'know, he was literally the W. re-elect's chief strategist), except for Fox, who are referring to him as a "left-wing pundit." So, y'know, Fox journalism!

In any event, a friend of a friend is his campaign manager, so here's hoping that he has a chance!!
narrator: he, in fact, did not have a chance.
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Computer89
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« Reply #261 on: September 29, 2021, 05:53:37 PM »


Between this and Jennifer Rubin writing articles calling Afghanistan a failure from the start, the times sure have a-changed.

He was a Democrat until 1999
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #262 on: September 29, 2021, 07:45:10 PM »

All media outlets reporting on this news are referring to him as an ex-W. strategist (because, y'know, he was literally the W. re-elect's chief strategist), except for Fox, who are referring to him as a "left-wing pundit." So, y'know, Fox journalism!

In any event, a friend of a friend is his campaign manager, so here's hoping that he has a chance!!

That's because "left" has lost its meaning and now just refers to literally anyone who the Republican Party dislikes. The same goes for "wokeness" and how even the most minor consequence a right winger faces is "cancel culture."
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #263 on: September 29, 2021, 10:33:08 PM »


Between this and Jennifer Rubin writing articles calling Afghanistan a failure from the start, the times sure have a-changed.

He was a Democrat until 1999

...A Texas DINO who worked for the Bush-endorsing Bob Bullock (as well as some Republicans even early on).

Not exactly George McGovern at any point.

Then was one of the top Republican strategists throughout the Dubya era.

This is a pretty huge turnaround no matter how you slice it.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #264 on: October 05, 2021, 02:18:11 AM »

Likely R.....but the only way a Democrat wins is if Allen West is the nominee

West and Huffines would still win, even if their margins are less than Abbott's.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #265 on: October 05, 2021, 05:25:30 PM »

Likely R -> Safe D

Obviously kidding, but this could energize youth turnout quite a bit.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #266 on: October 05, 2021, 06:11:34 PM »

The reason why Abbott is Safe due to fact Biden has let the Border get out of control with illegal immigration
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coloradocowboi
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« Reply #267 on: October 05, 2021, 06:37:35 PM »

Likely R -> Safe D

Obviously kidding, but this could energize youth turnout quite a bit.

The abortion law was a huge mistake. It could be Abbott's "bathroom bill" if he's not carefull.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #268 on: October 05, 2021, 06:42:14 PM »

Likely R -> Safe D

Obviously kidding, but this could energize youth turnout quite a bit.

The abortion law was a huge mistake. It could be Abbott's "bathroom bill" if he's not carefull.

Abbott is Safe because of broken borders in TX that Harris was supposed to fox
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #269 on: October 05, 2021, 06:50:35 PM »

I like Billie Eilish somewhat, but why are we still overestimating her influence on youth voting patterns? That's true for just about any celebrity actually (not counting the ones Republicans run for office).
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #270 on: October 06, 2021, 03:46:38 AM »

Texas Dems need to run someone who is tough but fair on immigration and someone who is not gaffe prone...

The gun thing was O'Rourke's only "gaffe" in about 3 years if IIRC....

It's a pretty big one for running in Texas though.

and it was over a year and half ago.

Americans do indeed have short-term memories, but the Republican Party doesn't and will use that against him. Guaranteed. And it may be enough for him to not have a chance at all.

People in the liberal bubble don't understand how much the gun issue has hurt them outside of the cities and some of the suburbs. It's not just Republicans, either. I know at least three Hillary 2016 and then Biden 2020 voters that said they liked Beto initially but were turned away by his gun comment.

Even aside from the gun comment, Beto's 2020 presidential run should go down in history as one of the most politically suicidal campaigns in American history. He had such promise both in the state of Texas and as an antidote to a lot of the coastal progressives in the Democratic Party, but he tossed all of it down the drain. It's pretty sad.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #271 on: October 06, 2021, 03:04:44 PM »

Guys.......
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #272 on: October 08, 2021, 02:20:28 PM »

Looks like McConaughey isn’t running after all, according to the Houston Chronicle.

https://www.chron.com/politics/article/Matthew-McConaughey-Texas-governor-run-Abbott-16515854.php
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Thunder98
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« Reply #273 on: October 08, 2021, 03:39:03 PM »


He basically pulled a Kid Rock when talked about running against Stabemenow in 2017.
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Pedocon Theory is not a theory
CalamityBlue
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« Reply #274 on: October 08, 2021, 05:55:30 PM »


This is a questionable reading of.... another reading of the interview which is literally publicly available right now. Did you stop reading after the first half of the opening paragraph?

Quote
Actor Matthew McConaughey is apparently not interested in running for Texas governor unless he thinks the role would allow him to truly make a difference.


And it's not "according to the Houston Chronicle", there is literally a transcript of the interview available here: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/07/opinion/sway-kara-swisher-matthew-mcconaughey.html?showTranscript=1

Quote
Matthew Mcconaughey
—this is— it’s a good question. No, it’s a good question. I mean, because one side is all— everything I just said. One side of the argument is, McConaughey, exactly. That’s why you need to go get in there. The other side is, pfft, that’s a bag of rats, man. Don’t touch that with a 10 foot pole. There’s another— you have another lane. You have another category to have influence, and get done things you’d like to get done, and help how you think you can help, and even heal divides. Maybe it’s much better outside of politics.

Kara Swisher
So do not grab the bag of rats, for example?

Matthew Mcconaughey
Well, again, I’m just— I don’t— it’s part— that’s part of my measure. Is it the right time, as well? I’m not a man who comes at politics from a political background. You know, I’m— I’m more of a statesman, philosopher, folk-singing poet—
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