Texas 2022 megathread
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Poll
Question: Current gubernatorial rating?
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tossup/tilt R
 
#5
Tossup/tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 245

Author Topic: Texas 2022 megathread  (Read 63296 times)
Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #25 on: March 01, 2021, 10:03:02 AM »

Beto O'Cuck should run for LT Gov
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The Houstonian
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« Reply #26 on: March 01, 2021, 11:34:16 AM »


You missed an opportunity to call him Beta O'Rourke.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #27 on: March 02, 2021, 05:09:54 AM »

It seems that the snow storm had no impact on Abbott's approval.

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #28 on: March 02, 2021, 07:09:50 AM »

It seems that the snow storm had no impact on Abbott's approval.



Makes sense. All most Texans care about is owning the libs.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #29 on: March 02, 2021, 02:29:47 PM »


Lt. Governor of Texas is actually more powerful than most of his colleagues in other states, lmao.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #30 on: March 02, 2021, 02:51:37 PM »

It seems that the snow storm had no impact on Abbott's approval.



Maybe not that, but I'm curious about what impact his recent covid related announcements will have on his approval.

To be specific, he is allowing ALL businesses in Texas to reopen at 100% capacity, and rescinding the statewide mask mandate. Though he is still allowing businesses to have safety measures when it comes to masks and capacity, and he is still allowing county judges to implement safety measures if hospitalization rates start rising.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #31 on: March 02, 2021, 03:31:44 PM »

Beto said on MSNBC that he isn't interested in running for Gov or Lt Gov

Mike DeWine is the only red state Gov along with Kemp that are Vulnerable, DeWine will be running with Josh Mandel and Reynolds is popular and DeSantis is running with Rubio

Cranley is probably gonna be our nominee and DeWine only won by 3 not 20, Cranley is only 46 yrs old and Cordray was lackluster like Strickland was
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MargieCat
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« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2021, 11:11:41 PM »

Domains purchased in the names of Beto, Abbott, and West (I'm assuming Royce West).
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #33 on: March 05, 2021, 12:36:29 AM »

Domains purchased in the names of Beto, Abbott, and West (I'm assuming Royce West).


Beto is basically the presumptive frontrunner at this point, and possibly the nominee if either of the Castros don't run. I assume Beto will announce his campaign by the end of the month.

Overall my prediction is R+5 for the election, but we'll see how things go from here.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #34 on: March 05, 2021, 02:01:40 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2021, 02:17:12 AM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

D's will make the House races competetive, Abbott will EASILY win, D's don't even have a 1/3 chance at winning FL or TX 0/3, DESANTIS WILL EASILY WIN
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beesley
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« Reply #35 on: March 05, 2021, 05:23:24 AM »

West shouldn't run for Governor, he should run for the new incarnation of TX-30.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #36 on: March 05, 2021, 04:51:48 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2021, 11:46:51 PM by Teflon Ron 2024 »

West shouldn't run for Governor, he should run for the new incarnation of TX-30.

Considering EBJ's been the representative from that district for its entire existence (since 1993), it's probably about time they get someone new.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #37 on: March 07, 2021, 11:13:25 AM »

Post snow storm poll :

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-march-2020rv.pdf

Abbott approval : 52/31 (+21)

Biden approval : 47/40 (+7)

Cornyn favourability 40/26 (+14)
Cruz favourability : 42/45 (-3)
Trump favourability 43/47 (-4)
O'Rourke favaourability 37/42 (-5)
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #38 on: March 07, 2021, 01:28:46 PM »

Post snow storm poll :

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-march-2020rv.pdf

Abbott approval : 52/31 (+21)

Biden approval : 47/40 (+7)

Cornyn favourability 40/26 (+14)
Cruz favourability : 42/45 (-3)
Trump favourability 43/47 (-4)
O'Rourke favaourability 37/42 (-5)


Considering that was taken before all the controversial covid related announcements, I wonder how it’s changed since then.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #39 on: March 07, 2021, 07:02:31 PM »
« Edited: March 07, 2021, 07:07:50 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Beto and Crist aren't winning, due to Rubio being on the ballot

DeWine and Kemp are far more likely, than Reynolds, Abbott and DeSANTIS to lose. DeWine isn't unbeatable, since he only won by 3 pts to Lackluster Cordray and he has lost a race before, to Sherrod Brown in 2006

He will be running with Josh Mandel
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #40 on: March 07, 2021, 09:27:19 PM »

Beto and Crist aren't winning, due to Rubio being on the ballot

DeWine and Kemp are far more likely, than Reynolds, Abbott and DeSANTIS to lose. DeWine isn't unbeatable, since he only won by 3 pts to Lackluster Cordray and he has lost a race before, to Sherrod Brown in 2006

He will be running with Josh Mandel

Dude, that literally has nothing to do with this election. Two completely different states.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #41 on: March 07, 2021, 10:01:17 PM »

Post snow storm poll :

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-march-2020rv.pdf

Abbott approval : 52/31 (+21)

Biden approval : 47/40 (+7)

Cornyn favourability 40/26 (+14)
Cruz favourability : 42/45 (-3)
Trump favourability 43/47 (-4)
O'Rourke favaourability 37/42 (-5)

I’d be really interested in seeing Abbott’s approval among Biden voters. He’s got to have a significant amount of approval among that group to get to 52 overall.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #42 on: March 10, 2021, 08:02:48 PM »

This is currently the only source reporting on it, but it seems like Lina Hidalgo may want to put her hat into the race?

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/coronavirus/article/Hidalgo-Abbott-mask-lifted-political-ratings-gov-16014934.php
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #43 on: March 10, 2021, 08:26:42 PM »

Unfortunately, Abbott is gonna win
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #44 on: March 10, 2021, 08:34:47 PM »
« Edited: March 10, 2021, 08:40:05 PM by Progressive Pessimist »

Post snow storm poll :

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-march-2020rv.pdf

Abbott approval : 52/31 (+21)

Biden approval : 47/40 (+7)

Cornyn favourability 40/26 (+14)
Cruz favourability : 42/45 (-3)
Trump favourability 43/47 (-4)
O'Rourke favaourability 37/42 (-5)


Considering that was taken before all the controversial covid related announcements, I wonder how it’s changed since then.

It's probably increased.

I wanted to call this race likely R since the energy crisis would give his Democratic opponent at least something to run on, but these polls of his unharmed approval make me much more pessimistic.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #45 on: March 10, 2021, 08:41:28 PM »

Looks like he's still considering it?

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #46 on: March 10, 2021, 08:43:02 PM »

If Matthew runs he will be the next Gov
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #47 on: March 10, 2021, 08:45:25 PM »

Looks like he's still considering it?



Alright? Alright? Alright?

I genuinely don't know how he would fare in an election, but I am curious and kind of want to see it.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #48 on: March 10, 2021, 08:49:47 PM »
« Edited: March 10, 2021, 08:54:33 PM by Teflon Ron 2024 »

Looks like he's still considering it?



Alright? Alright? Alright?

I genuinely don't know how he would fare in an election, but I am curious and kind of want to see it.

I've got a gut feeling he'll have a big enough following that he will be an "election spoiler."

By comparison, Rick Perry was running for re-election in 2006 against 3 candidates (one democrat and two independents). He won by 10% against the democrat, but considering Texas isn't as titanium safe R as it was in '06, I'm very concerned about Abbott's chances, and possibly even Beto's chances against a famous Texas actor.

I'll even make a bold prediction and say Matthew gets 2nd place in Travis County, only behind Beto, considering Matthew's UT roots.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #49 on: March 10, 2021, 08:51:03 PM »

It doesn't look like Matthew is gonna run but he is a strong advocate for campaign finance reform, he will campaign for D's in House districts so that if HR 1 doesn't pass, it will pass in 2023 when Ds net seats
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