VA primaries - Mason-Dixon: favourabilities within primary electorates

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://bluevirginia.us/2021/01/mason-dixon-virginia-poll-mcauliffe-clearly-the-best-known-on-the-dem-side-gop-governors-race-appears-to-be-wide-open

December 14-18
Among 250 Democratic registered voters:

TMac +41 (51 favourable/10 unfavourable/34 neutral/5 don't recognise)
Jennifer McClellan +20 (22 favourable/2 unfavourable/25 neutral/51 don't recognise)
Justin Fairfax +10 (24 favourable/14 unfavourable/41 neutral/21 don't recognise)
Jennifer Carroll Foy +7 (10 favourable/3 unfavourable/25 neutral/62 don't recognise)
Lee Carter +3 (4 favourable/1 unfavourable/13 neutral/82 don't recognise)

Among 177 Republican registered voters:

Amanda Chase +24 (27 favourable/3 unfavourable/24 neutral/46 don't recognise)
Kirk Cox +15 (22 favourable/7 unfavourable/18 neutral/53 don't recognise)

[Skunk]

What the hell is wrong with the 24% of people who have a favorable view of Justin Fairfax? Also lmao at Amanda Chase having higher favorables than Kirk Cox.

[Bootes Void]

I imagine T Mac wins the primary easily for now. However Kirk cox vs T mac would be tilt D/Tossup while T Mac vs Amanda Chase would be Safe D.
Kirk Cox against any other democrat is tossup

[VAR]

What the hell is wrong with the 24% of people who have a favorable view of Justin Fairfax? Also lmao at Amanda Chase having higher favorables than Kirk Cox.

Keep in mind this is among Democrats, though. Some Democrats say they approve/have a favorable view of pretty much every Democratic politician, and they might've even forgotten about the sexual assault allegations. Or maybe they just don't care.

This is actually very tame compared to the AL-SEN 2017 exit poll which showed Roy Moore had a 41% favorability rating (among everyone, not just Rs). Granted, VA Democrats are much saner than AL Republicans, but partisanship is a very big deal.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Unless something crazy happens, McAuliffe can basically take a nap for the next ten months.

Republicans can't win in VA, only Democrats can lose. And they're not going to with TMac.