RIP the efficient-market hypothesis (1900-2021)
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  RIP the efficient-market hypothesis (1900-2021)
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Author Topic: RIP the efficient-market hypothesis (1900-2021)  (Read 517 times)
brucejoel99
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« on: January 25, 2021, 03:20:38 PM »

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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2021, 03:48:42 PM »
« Edited: July 05, 2021, 09:06:38 PM by brucejoel99 »

Looks pretty efficient to me -- a bunch of people decided they wanted some and the supply is limited, so prices rose?

That's not really how it works. The efficient-market hypothesis postulates that a stock's price reflects all of the relevant information that could affect its value. You might expect a stock's market capitalization - that is, the cumulative value of all of its shares - to be the same as the value of its net assets. If that were true, then that'd mean that you could theoretically purchase a company for the same price at which you could sell all of the company's tangible assets (i.e., physical & intellectual property).

However, almost no company's market cap is its net-asset value because there are additional factors to take into consideration, such as the company's potential for growth, the leadership of the company, R&D spending, etc. The efficient-market hypothesis holds that a stock's value is actually a reflection of all of these harder-to-measure factors, thereby determining a company's value. What GameStop shows is that a bunch of people can just dramatically inflate the price of a stock by buying a bunch of it on a whim as a meme, thereby demonstrating that stock price isn't necessarily grounded in reality.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2021, 04:28:43 PM »

No one (who seriously studies econ/finance) believes in the EMH. It's a benchmark to analyze against, not unlike perfect competition or perfectly rational consumers.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2021, 02:01:38 PM »

...And today GameStop is up another 60+%. Amazing. 
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