OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
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  OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
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Author Topic: OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance  (Read 94005 times)
Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #650 on: September 22, 2021, 04:38:41 PM »

Some old, once deleted tweets JD Vance tweets that were critical of President Trump have come out.

Quote
Ohio Republican Senate candidate J.D. Vance said on Monday that he regrets posting since-deleted tweets critical of former President Trump.

“Like a lot of people, I criticized Trump back in 2016,” Vance told Fox News' Alicia Acuna during a Monday interview. “And I ask folks not to judge me based on what I said in 2016, because I’ve been very open that I did say those critical things and I regret them, and I regret being wrong about the guy. I think he was a good president, I think he made a lot of good decisions for people, and I think he took a lot of flak.”

“I think … the most important thing, is not what you said five years ago, but whether you’re willing to stand up and take the heat and take the hits for actually defending the interests of the American people,” Vance said.


Vance also says in the clip shared by Mediaite that he met with Trump recently at his Mar-a-Lago estate and calls him a “good president.”






Vance has turned into a coward over Trump - yet another victim of Trump who has been corrupted - someone who's abandoned all their principles.

Now I'm wondering what if it was a good idea to get the copy of Hillbilly Elegy I got last Christmas.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #651 on: September 22, 2021, 04:39:31 PM »

People should stop saying OH is unwinnable, OH sn't IA, IA gas 3% Afro Americans and Grassley isn't winning by 20/10pts and the state split it votes between M DeWine and Brown in 2018/ and Ryan is tied and DeWine is winning by 10 again

State has 12% Afro American
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S019
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« Reply #652 on: September 22, 2021, 04:41:03 PM »

People should stop saying OH is unwinnable, OH sn't IA, IA gas 3% Afro Americans and Grassley isn't winning by 20/10pts and the state split it votes between M DeWine and Brown in 2018/ and Ryan is tied and DeWine is winning by 10 again

State has 12% Afro American


Will you eat crow when Mandel or Vance wins by 15?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #653 on: September 22, 2021, 06:19:45 PM »

If Biden Approvals are the same and his agenda which is blocked by Rs don't go anywhere, of course Mandel or Vance will win by 15, but we have 14 mnths and D's will get his agenda passed thru Reconciliation if they Have to

Govt cannot default, if it does all the payments that Govt missed including checks for Govt shutdown have to be paid back after Govt shutdown anyways like 300 child tax credits, SSA payments and Govt checks, the Govt don't want to get into paying back payments more than a month anyways
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #654 on: September 22, 2021, 07:01:40 PM »

People should stop saying OH is unwinnable, OH sn't IA, IA gas 3% Afro Americans and Grassley isn't winning by 20/10pts and the state split it votes between M DeWine and Brown in 2018/ and Ryan is tied and DeWine is winning by 10 again

State has 12% Afro American


Will you eat crow when Mandel or Vance wins by 15?

That will depend on the algorithm.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #655 on: September 30, 2021, 01:00:25 AM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #656 on: September 30, 2021, 02:19:08 AM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.

Called it:

I already foresee and simultaneously nominate "Mandel loses before Sununu/CCM" as the worst "battleground take" of this entire election cycle.

I do see Mandel underperforming generic R by a fairly noticeable margin, i.e., turning what should be an easy double-digit sweep into a high-single digit, at the absolute worst a mid-single-digit win, but he’s not losing in 2022. Vance is a moot point because he’s not going to win the primary (even Mandel is far from a sure thing, but obviously a far more likely winner than Vance).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #657 on: September 30, 2021, 03:28:57 AM »
« Edited: September 30, 2021, 03:55:25 AM by Mr. Kanye West »

Mandel is 4 pts ahead of Tim Ryan but Ryan is our 53rd seat, and Barnes, Ryan and Fetterman already endorsed DC Statehood not Beasley or Jackson and Demings and Grayson did endorse DC Statehood too

50 is PA, 51 is WI, 52 GA runoff, 53 OH, 54 NC and 55 is FL

56(57 are IA and MO Kunce has a better chance than Fink

Don't underestimate Josh Mandel or Tim Ryan but I have donated to ryan

Order of seats falling

Negative seats

48 AZ Kelly Leans D
49 NH Hassan Leans D
50 PA Fetterman Leans D
51 WI Mandela Barnes Leans D
Probably Lose the H
52 GA Warnock Runoff Tossup
53 OH open seat Tossup
DC STATEHOOD Ryan, Barnes and Fetterman have endorsed it bypass, probably win H Blue dogs Tester, Manchin, Sinema
54 NC open seat Tossup.
55 FL open st Tossup
56 IA Grassley Safe R
57 MO open st Safe R but can be competetive, the GOP party has just DIED IF THEY LOSE IA AND MO

Biden Approvals f his Agenda is Passed won't be at 45, percent on Election night if it stands now Biden would narrowly lose the H and we would pick up WI and Pa and lose GA in a Runoff

Nate Silver blue wall 304

Biden is at 50(48 LV and 53(47 RV exactly where he was on Election night

Party performance lands exactly where Prez performance and Biden is at 50(48 enough for Rs to win H and D's win S

But if Biden can achieve Success and Land at 53(47 where his RV he can win H and 55 seats in Senate

S019 thinks Johnson and Sununu will win but DeSantis and Rubio ha, that's a good one

DeSantis and Rubio are way more popular than Ron Johnson
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #658 on: September 30, 2021, 05:17:40 AM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.

I call BS on that. Ohio voted 12% to the right of the nation in 2020.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #659 on: September 30, 2021, 05:24:52 AM »

Lol OH isn't gonna vote to Left of WI
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #660 on: September 30, 2021, 05:26:02 AM »

Yeah, Vance is about as relevant as Tom Steyer’s presidential bid.

It’s going to be Mandel vs Ryan and it’s probably not going to be close. But, Mandel will likely underperform and Ryan overperform so maybe interesting?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #661 on: September 30, 2021, 10:00:33 AM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.

The amount of Republican consultant types that underestimate their own candidates/performance, particularly in working-class America, continues to amaze me.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #662 on: September 30, 2021, 11:08:55 AM »

Biden is at 38% in NC but OH is a wave insurance state in case we lose GA and so is FL, Beasley hurt herself badly when she backed the Filibuster
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JustinSmith
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« Reply #663 on: September 30, 2021, 11:19:11 AM »

Currently my model predicts that Mandel wins the OH R primary with about 49% of the vote, with Vance and Timken coming in next at 23% and 16% (93% confidence: Mandel > each other Republican candidate)

Then in the general, Mandel wins with approx. 2.298m votes to Ryan's 1.974m votes (76% confidence: Mandel > Ryan).

Not much data to work with on this race yet, though, so these numbers will change for sure.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #664 on: October 07, 2021, 08:05:06 AM »

https://news.yahoo.com/democratic-rep-tim-ryan-plan-120001263.html

He is 4 pts down to Josh Mandel but he is from Youngstown and if we want Brown to win in 2024/ Ryan better win

This is MT Sen race in 2020 but with one twist Josh Mandel isn't Daines whom is Bipartisan he already lost to Sherrod Brown in 2012, this is D's 53rd seat after GA runoff

No, Sununu or Laxalt won't win and Ryan will win it's gonna follow like Nate Silver says the blue Wall

I have already donated to Ryan

If Jackson instead of Beasley gets nominated, Beasley tripped all over herself on Filibuster, that will be competetive too
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beesley
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« Reply #665 on: October 07, 2021, 09:32:26 AM »

Why? I’m just pointing out the obvious. There is nothing interesting about this election on the Dem side. Whoever wins the GOP primary will be Ohio’s next Senator.

You could've said it in a more measured way, I think was the point.
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Grassroots
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« Reply #666 on: October 13, 2021, 09:27:02 AM »

The chance Tim Ryan wins, no matter the R nominee, is exactly 0. Not sure why we are kidding ourselves here.
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JMT
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« Reply #667 on: October 13, 2021, 09:44:44 AM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #668 on: October 13, 2021, 09:50:45 AM »

Of course he endorsed Brown he defeated Josh Mandel in 2012 he is another retread, this race isn't Safe R, like Rs want it to be the Gov race is safe R with Man Whaley the Rs want it to be so that they dont want Ds to get 53 seats plus H fir DC Statehood
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #669 on: October 21, 2021, 11:49:17 PM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.

Tim Ryan is the JD Vance of the left, the majority of voters in the state have no idea who he is
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #670 on: October 22, 2021, 12:05:52 AM »

Recently, I caught up with a friend who is a native Ohioan and works for a Republican member from Ohio. FWIW, he's convinced that Ryan would beat either Mandel or Vance.

Tim Ryan is the JD Vance of the left, the majority of voters in the state have no idea who he is
Not even close to true
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #671 on: October 22, 2021, 01:06:44 AM »

Typical reaction bye an R, Biden just said that he will eliminate the Filibuster on VR Reform after his spending package passed and you will hear alot from Kunce, Ryan and Demings

Rs are gonna lose their advantage in gerrymandering if VR passes
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #672 on: October 23, 2021, 01:08:06 AM »



👏🏼 👏🏼 👏🏼
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #673 on: October 23, 2021, 01:52:17 AM »

Why do both of the major OH republicans have such noxious Twitter accounts ?
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #674 on: October 23, 2021, 02:14:56 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2021, 02:47:01 AM by Joe Republic »

Why do both of the major OH republicans have such noxious Twitter accounts ?

A noxious Twitter account (as an extension of their noxious personality in real life) is now a requirement for elected office as a Republican, since around early 2016.
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