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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  beasley vs. demint, sc runoff
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Author Topic: beasley vs. demint, sc runoff  (Read 9663 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #75 on: June 20, 2004, 03:18:11 pm »

Most= "majority."

Let me rephrase for your politically correct needs, Mr. Thought Policeman

"A plurality of Southerners, primarily whites, will not consider voting for a Democrat."

Dude, you seriously need a life.

Well I'd dispute that a plurality of Southerners would "not consider voting for a Democrat".
The main problem the Dems have in the South is the fact that a lot of poor rural whites stopped voting 30 odd years ago. This is the DNC's own fault.
IF the rise of Neo-Populism can get these people voting again and if at the same time the suburbs do a NOVA, the South might swing back our way.
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AuH2O
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« Reply #76 on: June 20, 2004, 03:26:30 pm »

Rural whites voted for Sonny Perdue. Ask Roy Barnes.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #77 on: June 20, 2004, 03:36:49 pm »

Rural whites voted for Sonny Perdue. Ask Roy Barnes.

It was the fault of Barnes and Barnes alone. And he was no Neo-Populist.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #78 on: June 20, 2004, 08:22:44 pm »

give southerners credit.  they know a stupid idea when they see one.

neo-populism=stupid idea.

why cant you just call it populism?  i reckon george wallace and that crowd tainted that word.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #79 on: June 21, 2004, 08:40:58 am »

give southerners credit.  they know a stupid idea when they see one.

neo-populism=stupid idea.

why cant you just call it populism?  i reckon george wallace and that crowd tainted that word.

Neo means new Wink
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #80 on: June 21, 2004, 10:42:44 am »

yeah but im just as wary of the neo-populists as i am the old populists.  the neo-populists arent racists, but they play on fear just like the old populists did.

no amount of protectionism in the world is going to bring textiles back.  they need to be honest.  it;s all about economic diversifaction.  rdu and charlotte didnt become major economic centers by relying on $8 hour textile jobs.  they diversified their economy.

update:  governor easley further angers democrats by blowing off their  convention over the weekend.  that is one reason i like easley.  he is his own man  
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #81 on: June 21, 2004, 11:08:21 am »

Hey, this Beasely/DeMint runoff is tomorrow. Anyone with predictions? I think DeMint will win it, not by much but he'll win. I'll say....Demint 53%   Beasely - 47%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #82 on: June 21, 2004, 11:18:47 am »

yeah but im just as wary of the neo-populists as i am the old populists.  the neo-populists arent racists, but they play on fear just like the old populists did.

I'm not sure whether it's fear or resentment... I'm guessing a mix of the two... likewhys I'm not sure when it started and where it started... if it's deep rooted it could be around for a while.

Logically it *should* be a direct result of sunbelt development (every action has an equal and opposite reaction) but I've not looked at it in enough detail to be sure. It might be a result of other factors though... time to look at it in detail I guess...
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True Federalist
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« Reply #83 on: June 21, 2004, 12:00:39 pm »

Hey, this Beasely/DeMint runoff is tomorrow. Anyone with predictions? I think DeMint will win it, not by much but he'll win. I'll say....Demint 53%   Beasely - 47%
The only poll I've seen is a week old and had Demint 48% Beasley 47%, but the weather could play a large factor just as it did in the primary.  The forecast is for scattered showers just as it was two week ago.  Had the weather in the upstate and the low country been reversed for the primary, the runoff would have been between Beasley and Ravenel instead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #84 on: June 21, 2004, 12:08:10 pm »

Wow now that's a close race. From that poll there seems to be a good amount of undecided voters still. I say they will end up voting DeMint.
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AuH2O
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« Reply #85 on: June 21, 2004, 10:59:34 pm »

I'll predict DeMint, but on paper Beasley has a slight edge due to his consistent strength with women voters and statewide reach. We shall see how much effect the endorsements have in DeMint's favor.

I hope DeMint wins... he's a quality guy. Beasley thinks a little too much of himself.
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giving birth to thunder
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« Reply #86 on: June 21, 2004, 11:12:03 pm »

Beasley 52%
DeMint 48%
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AuH2O
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« Reply #87 on: June 22, 2004, 09:29:20 pm »

Nice call, Red.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #88 on: June 22, 2004, 09:56:10 pm »

Well Boss Tweed called for a 6-8% win for Beasley. I didn't think Beasely would win but I didn't expect DeMint to do that well! SC - GOP pickup!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #89 on: June 23, 2004, 06:14:44 am »

Well Boss Tweed called for a 6-8% win for Beasley. I didn't think Beasely would win but I didn't expect DeMint to do that well! SC - GOP pickup!

Possible GOP pickup. It's too close for me to call... even a slight favourite...
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #90 on: June 23, 2004, 09:53:11 am »

south carolinians beat back (convincingly) the evil forces of protectionism on tuesday night.  i expect them to do the same in november.
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A18
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« Reply #91 on: August 14, 2005, 05:49:14 am »

I'll tell you this though: there is no way that Bush will win NC by 14 points.

Yeah. Only 12.62 points. What were you thinking, AuH2O?
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