2016: Gary Johnson enters the debates (user search)
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  2016: Gary Johnson enters the debates (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016: Gary Johnson enters the debates  (Read 490 times)
Torrain
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,071
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

« on: January 31, 2021, 06:03:17 AM »

Two options:
1. Johnson humiliates himself, and Clinton benefits from the collapse in the third party vote


2. Johnson overperforms, due to a shift in perceptions. The increase in third party vote throws the election out of whack, and alters the outcome in close states. Example:



I think that Johnson's appearance could feasibly benefit either candidate, both of these are just random hypotheticals. I really don't think Johnson can win an electoral vote in 2016, but he could definitely flip a few states between the Dems and GOP
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