latest Betfair odds

[Tekken_Guy]

Democratic nomination
Biden 28.4
Harris 22.2
Buttigieg 7.8
Clinton 3.8
M. Obama 3.8
Warren 3.7
Duckworth 3.4
S. Rice 2.3
Newsom 1.9
Klobuchar 1.6
Ossoff 1.6
Ocasio-Cortez 1.5

Republican nomination
Trump 42.2
DeSantis 21.7
Haley 9.5
Pence 8.8
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Carlson 2.5
Cotton 2.4
Cruz 2.4
Sasse 1.8
R. Scott 1.8

Four years ago today:

Democratic nomination
Sanders 16.7
Harris 15.4
Biden 15.2
Warren 13.9
Gillibrand 7.8
Booker 5.7
M. Obama 5.7
Winfrey 4.8
Kaine 4.3
Klobuchar 4.0
Zuckerberg 4.0

Republican nomination
Trump 69.2
Pence 16.1
Kasich 6.6

Why did DeSantis slip?

[Tekken_Guy]

Democratic nomination
Biden 28.4
Harris 22.2
Buttigieg 7.8
Clinton 3.8
M. Obama 3.8
Warren 3.7
Duckworth 3.4
S. Rice 2.3
Newsom 1.9
Klobuchar 1.6
Ossoff 1.6
Ocasio-Cortez 1.5

Republican nomination
Trump 42.2
DeSantis 21.7
Haley 9.5
Pence 8.8
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Carlson 2.5
Cotton 2.4
Cruz 2.4
Sasse 1.8
R. Scott 1.8

Four years ago today:

Democratic nomination
Sanders 16.7
Harris 15.4
Biden 15.2
Warren 13.9
Gillibrand 7.8
Booker 5.7
M. Obama 5.7
Winfrey 4.8
Kaine 4.3
Klobuchar 4.0
Zuckerberg 4.0

Republican nomination
Trump 69.2
Pence 16.1
Kasich 6.6

Why did DeSantis slip?

Presumably because Trump rose.

Why did Trump rise by 3.5 since the last update?

[Tekken_Guy]

Democratic nomination
Biden 28.4
Harris 22.2
Buttigieg 7.8
Clinton 3.8
M. Obama 3.8
Warren 3.7
Duckworth 3.4
S. Rice 2.3
Newsom 1.9
Klobuchar 1.6
Ossoff 1.6
Ocasio-Cortez 1.5

Republican nomination
Trump 42.2
DeSantis 21.7
Haley 9.5
Pence 8.8
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Carlson 2.5
Cotton 2.4
Cruz 2.4
Sasse 1.8
R. Scott 1.8

Four years ago today:

Democratic nomination
Sanders 16.7
Harris 15.4
Biden 15.2
Warren 13.9
Gillibrand 7.8
Booker 5.7
M. Obama 5.7
Winfrey 4.8
Kaine 4.3
Klobuchar 4.0
Zuckerberg 4.0

Republican nomination
Trump 69.2
Pence 16.1
Kasich 6.6

Is there a reason why Trump is back at 42 after slipping to 39 in the last update?

[Tekken_Guy]

Pence is back up to 3rd place for the GOP nomination:

Democratic nomination
Biden 29.3
Harris 22.6
Buttigieg 7.2
Warren 3.7
M. Obama 3.6
Clinton 3.4
Duckworth 3.4
S. Rice 2.3
Newsom 1.8
Klobuchar 1.6
Ossoff 1.6
Ocasio-Cortez 1.5

Republican nomination
Trump 41.5
DeSantis 22.2
Pence 9.5
Haley 9.1
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Cotton 2.4
Cruz 2.4
Carlson 2.1
Sasse 1.8
R. Scott 1.8

Why did Trump go to 42 down to 39 and back to 42?

[Tekken_Guy]

Update:

Democratic nomination
Biden 30.5
Harris 19.3
Buttigieg 7.5
Warren 6.2
Adams 5.1
Clinton 3.6
M. Obama 3.6
Duckworth 3.4
Newsom 2.3
S. Rice 2.2

Republican nomination
Trump 47.6
DeSantis 20.8
Pence 10.9
Haley 7.8
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Cruz 2.4
Cotton 2.3

Four years ago at about this time:

Democratic nomination:
Sanders 20.1
Biden 18.0
Harris 16.8
Warren 12.8
Gillibrand 9.5
Booker 7.0
Winfrey 6.4
Brown 5.3

Republican nomination:
Trump 69.2
Pence 14.7

Eight years ago at about this time:

Dems
Clinton 65.8
Biden 7.2
Warren 6.5
Cuomo 4.0

GOP
Bush 20.0
Rubio 16.8
Paul 11.4
Christie 10.0
Walker 6.8
Cruz 5.7
Ryan 4.8
Huckabee 4.5

Twelve years ago at about this time on Intrade:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=93015.msg2510749#msg2510749

Romney 22.5
Palin 20.0
Thune 15.0
Gingrich 10.0
Pawlenty 6.5
Jeb Bush 4.1
Huckabee 3.8
Daniels 3.5
Paul 3.5
Pence 2.5

Trump surging?!  It feels like his standing has declined meaningfully in the past 6 weeks.   

From what it looks like, it’s a case of “more likely he’ll run” rather than “less likely he’ll lose the primary assuming he runs”. Which might solely be a reaction to Biden’s approval rating.

[Tekken_Guy]

Trump now over 50, as DeSantis and Pence drop.  On the Dem. side, Newsom surges into 3rd place (and double digits), and Biden has dropped.

Democratic nomination
Biden 30.5
Harris 17.4
Newsom 10.7
Buttigieg 6.2
M. Obama 5.0
Warren 5.0
Clinton 4.0
Adams 3.7
Duckworth 3.4
Rice 2.2

Republican nomination
Trump 52.4
DeSantis 28.4
Pence 5.8
Haley 3.8
Pompeo 3.8
Noem 2.6
Cotton 2.4

What caused Trump to go up so much?