Alternate 2020 Election Night Timeline: Pandemonium
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  Alternate 2020 Election Night Timeline: Pandemonium
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Author Topic: Alternate 2020 Election Night Timeline: Pandemonium  (Read 721 times)
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 23, 2021, 08:20:10 AM »

Based on a weird map I made on Cook Political Report:

Toss-up map:



It is now election night.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2021, 12:37:58 PM »

It is 7:00PM now.

We have two projections. We can project the President has in fact won Kentucky while Biden has won Vermont. We cannot make projections in Indiana, Georgia, South Carolina or Virginia at this time.



The president has an 8-3 lead right now.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2021, 12:40:04 PM »

It is 7:30PM and we have one projection. The president wins West Virginia. No shockers there. With those 5 electoral votes, President Trump now has 13 electoral votes to Biden's 3. We cannot make a projection in either Ohio or North Carolina right now.

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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2021, 12:47:19 PM »

It is 8PM on the east coast and we have some projections.

The president has won Tennessee, Oklahoma and Alabama as well as Indiana and South Carolina which were both too early to call.

Biden has won his home state of Delaware, DC, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Rhode Island.

We cannot make projections in Florida, Mississippi, Missouri, Connecticut, New Hampshire, Maine and Pennsylvania.

The president is now at 60 while Biden is at 68.

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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 23, 2021, 01:00:49 PM »

8:30PM and we can project the president has won Arkansas while Biden has won Connecticut.

8:43PM: We have an EXTREMELY major call to make. We can project Biden has won Florida. Exit polls have shown that Hispanics are breaking around 80-20 for Biden and it was just not feasible for Trump to win here with those numbers. Trump's path still isn't impossible but no doubt is it crippled. These numbers certainly mean the president will have troubles in AZ and TX. One other thing to point out is that a law was recently passed that made voting a requirement for Asians and other demographics aside from Hispanic, African-American and White if they wanted to retain citizenship. Don't ask us why they passed a law like that.

Biden is at 104 electoral votes while Trump is at 66.

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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2021, 01:09:04 PM »

9PM now and we can project Louisiana, 3 of Nebraska's votes, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Missouri and Mississippi for President Trump and we can also project New Mexico and New York for Biden. We cannot project any winners in Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, 2 of Nebraska's votes, Texas and Wisconsin.

Biden has 138 electoral votes and the President has 102.

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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2021, 01:16:34 PM »

10PM and we cannot make any projections but we can say Biden has won Virginia and 1 electoral vote in Maine while Trump won one vote in Maine, one vote in Nebraska, Ohio and Kansas.

This makes it 152 for Biden and 128 for Trump.

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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: January 23, 2021, 01:26:48 PM »

FAST FORWARD:

It is 5AM in the morning:



We have projected Biden to be the winner of 268 electoral votes and Trump 170.

5 states are still too close to call and likely headed for recounts. WI, MI, GA, TX and PA.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: January 23, 2021, 01:29:42 PM »

It is November 5th and we can say WI and TX have gone to Trump by 0.5% and 0.3% margins respectively.



Biden is at 268 and Trump 218. Biden also looks to be running about 7 or 8 million votes ahead of Trump right now so if Trump pulls this out it will likely invoke pandemonium.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: January 23, 2021, 01:31:50 PM »

November 7th: Trump has pulled through in both GA and PA by about 0.2% a piece. Now it's down to Michigan where Biden was leading by about 106 votes.

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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: January 23, 2021, 01:37:07 PM »
« Edited: January 23, 2021, 01:51:08 PM by Chips »

TRUMP WINS RE-ELECTION AS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!

Michigan has been certified for Trump by 386 votes. This brings Trump to 270 electoral votes exactly to Biden's 268. Biden has flipped AZ and FL on the backs of about 82% of hispanics turning out for Democrats and Trump has flipped NH mainly thanks to improvements among college-educated whites.



Biden has won the popular vote by 5% or 8,096,149 votes.

Biden: 81,079,327
Trump: 72,983,178

Closest states:

MI: >0.01%
PA: 0.2%
GA: 0.2%
TX: 0.3%
WI: 0.5%
NH: 0.7%
NE-02: 1.4%

MN: 1.5%
AZ: 1.9%

NC: 2.0%
ME: 2.1%
FL: 4.9%
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: January 23, 2021, 01:38:46 PM »

https://www.cookpolitical.com/swingometer?CEWv=503&NCWv=309&AAv=938&HLv=821&AOv=662&CEWt=762&NCWt=602&AAt=632&HLt=502&AOt=1000

My Cook map where this was inspired.
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BenBurch
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« Reply #12 on: March 25, 2021, 03:48:26 PM »

It's damned near impossible for Florida to flip like that, due to Cubans.  And Arizona's GOP decline has been due to liberal college-educated whites.  Trump would also likely win Minnesota, if he's gaining back educated whites. 
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