The 50 best bellwether counties

[It's Time.]

Here is a list of the counties in a state that best mirrored the state's results. For Example, Biden won MI by 2.8%, so the county in Michigan closest to Biden+2.8 is the best bellwether for that state.

AL: Talladega County
AK: No Data
AZ: Maricopa County
AR: Woodruff County
CA: Solano County
CO: Clear Creek County
CT: New Haven County
DE: Kent County
FL: St. Lucie County
GA: Washington County
HI: Kauai County
ID: Nez Perce County
IL: DuPage County
IN: Vigo County
IA: Des Moines County
KS: Geary County
KY: Madison County
LA: Red River Parish
ME: Lincoln County
MD: Baltimore County
MA: Norfolk County
MI: Muskegon County
MN: Washington County
MS: Lauderdale County
MO: St. Charles County
MT: Lake County
NE: Dakota County
NV: Washoe County
NH: Hillsborough County
NJ: Bergen County
NM: Cibola County
NY: Monroe County
NC: Scotland County
ND: Richland County
OH: Wood County
OK: Muskogee County
OR: Lincoln County
PA: Erie County
RI: Washington County
SC: Berkeley County
SD: Pennington County
TN: Williamson County
TX: Zapata County
UT: Weber County
VT: Windsor County
VA: Staunton City
WA: Thurston County
WV: Fayette County
WI: Door County
WY: Natrona County

[MoreThanPolitics]

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1335727243088293898
Alaska's bellwether county-equivalent is Chugach

[Chips]

Here is a list of the counties in a state that best mirrored the state's results. For Example, Biden won MI by 2.8%, so the county in Michigan closest to Biden+2.8 is the best bellwether for that state.

AL: Talladega County
AK: No Data
AZ: Maricopa County
AR: Woodruff County
CA: Solano County
CO: Clear Creek County
CT: New Haven County
DE: Kent County
FL: St. Lucie County
GA: Washington County
HI: Kauai County
ID: Nez Perce County
IL: DuPage County
IN: Vigo County
IA: Des Moines County
KS: Geary County
KY: Madison County
LA: Red River Parish
ME: Lincoln County
MD: Baltimore County
MA: Norfolk County
MI: Muskegon County
MN: Washington County
MS: Lauderdale County
MO: St. Charles County
MT: Lake County
NE: Dakota County
NV: Washoe County
NH: Hillsborough County
NJ: Bergen County
NM: Cibola County
NY: Monroe County
NC: Scotland County
ND: Richland County
OH: Wood County
OK: Muskogee County
OR: Lincoln County
PA: Erie County
RI: Washington County
SC: Berkeley County
SD: Pennington County
TN: Williamson County
TX: Zapata County
UT: Weber County
VT: Windsor County
VA: Staunton City
WA: Thurston County
WV: Fayette County
WI: Door County
WY: Natrona County

Nice.

[Catalyst138]

So Vigo County is still a bellwether after all? Just a different kind of bellwether.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Williamson County might technically have voted the closest to the Tennessee statewide vote in 2020 (3 points to the right of it, but no county was super close), but to paint it as remotely the best political representation of the state is kind of funny.

[Meatball Ron]

Lol, imagine if someone told you in October that Zapata would be the best bellwether county in Texas. You'd really wonder what on earth happened that led Biden to win Texas by >20 points...