For those who thought Trump would win, what were you MOST wrong about?
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  For those who thought Trump would win, what were you MOST wrong about?
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Poll
Question: For those who thought Trump would win, what were you most wrong about?
#1
I thought Trump was being underestimated in polls
 
#2
I thought Biden was a very weak candidate
 
#3
I underestimated how many people blamed Trump for COVID
 
#4
I did not expect Biden to win back the rust belt
 
#5
I expected Trump to expand his 2016 map
 
#6
I thought the Hunter Biden story would hurt Joe
 
#7
I thought Trump had a big incumbency advantage
 
#8
Something else (explain)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 19

Author Topic: For those who thought Trump would win, what were you MOST wrong about?  (Read 1196 times)
EJ24
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« on: January 21, 2021, 02:39:44 PM »

?
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2021, 09:30:56 PM »

I feel like the answer most likely lies in several answers, so you should make it a multiple answer poll
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GP270watch
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2021, 12:42:28 AM »

I thought he would cheat and steal the election with voter suppression and USPS chicanery. But he was even too stupid to do that though he tried.
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2021, 01:46:57 AM »

Back when Biden surged ahead in the primary, I thought that Trump would repeat his 2016 strategy against Hillary to win reelection (both Hillary and Biden were establishment Democrats who supported free trade, and Trump's 2016 win can be attributed to him railing against free trade, which attracted many working class voters in the Rust Belt). I think that might have happened without the pandemic and social unrest that ensued (once those events hit and I saw how Trump responded to them, I knew that Trump had more than squandered his built-in advantage against Biden).
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2021, 09:18:16 AM »

Why is "I thought Trump was being underestimated in polls" an option? By all accounts, polls underestimated Republicans in 2020.
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slothdem
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2021, 06:45:41 PM »

Back when Biden surged ahead in the primary, I thought that Trump would repeat his 2016 strategy against Hillary to win reelection (both Hillary and Biden were establishment Democrats who supported free trade, and Trump's 2016 win can be attributed to him railing against free trade, which attracted many working class voters in the Rust Belt). I think that might have happened without the pandemic and social unrest that ensued (once those events hit and I saw how Trump responded to them, I knew that Trump had more than squandered his built-in advantage against Biden).

You can attribute this but you would be mostly wrong.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2021, 09:41:09 PM »

I never thought he was a lock to win, but I thought he had some chance to win fairly and that he'd try to unlawfully remain in power.

In terms of the vote, where Trump under-performed, I was most wrong about GA. (Overall I was wrong about the likely margin in FL and NC.)

In terms of the election as a whole, I grossly overestimated how competent Donald Trump's coup would be. (I seem to always overestimate Republicans.)
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Chips
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2021, 11:35:53 PM »

I was wrong in PA, GA, NE-02 and AZ. NE-02 was decided by the biggest margin out of all of them so that.
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