Absolutely it did and will continue to as long as he’s the driving force in the GOP. This is why it will take multiple cycles for them to win at the national level again.
Um... o..kay. This seems like some serious wishful thinking that goes against real time data that we’re already seeing and hinting at; whether it be special elections or voter registration in swing states. This sounds like something Joy Reid would say and she’s never predicted anything correctly.
Trump and the MAGA base alone is not enough to win a national election. Their ceiling is 47%. I just don’t understand why the GOP wants to double down on someone who lost by 7 million votes and lost two red states (Arizona and Georgia), and not realize he is toxic to 51% of the electorate. The gop needs to win back people like me: white millennial centrists with a college degree.
It doesn't, because the popular vote is not the electoral college. Non-college educated white people comprise the largest voting bloc; Hispanic voters represent the fastest-growing one of considerable size. The first group swung against, but trended towards, Trump; along with black voters, the second trended
and swung towards Trump.
In theory, the GOP just needs to slow down the rate at which it loses college-educated white voters and keep the pro-GOP trends going. There are a lot of question marks to do with lockdown-induced turnout patterns, etc., but I don't think winning back white, millennial, college-educated centrists should be their top priority.