Rate 2022 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election

[Los Angeles Swag Boss]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.
- Wisconsin reflects the national environment, which historically is horrible for Democrats.
- we haven’t seen the impact of a global pandemic on early voter registration (Spring Election).
- Wisconsin legislature may pass bills to make it harder to vote.
- no clue what a post-vaccinated world looks like from a public opinion perspective.

So this race is WAYYY too early to call, but the best I can say is toss-up. Too much in the air.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.
- Wisconsin reflects the national environment, which historically is horrible for Democrats.
- we haven’t seen the impact of a global pandemic on early voter registration (Spring Election).
- Wisconsin legislature may pass bills to make it harder to vote.
- no clue what a post-vaccinated world looks like from a public opinion perspective.

So this race is WAYYY too early to call, but the best I can say is toss-up. Too much in the air.

Major Scott Walker Erasure.

[MT Treasurer]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.

Hi Charlie Cook

[KaiserDave]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.

Hi Charlie Cook

I was walking in Waukesha county the other day, in a Trump +30 precinct, and I met several Walker-Johnson-Trump-Walker-Vukmir-Trump voters who naturally were planning to vote for the Republican nominee against Evers. But once I told them no incumbent governor in Wisconsin has lost since 1986 they really rethought everything and told me there was simply no way they couldn't support Governor Evers. He'll probably win every county.

[Left Wing]

A better piece of information to consider is that Wisconsin hasn’t voted for a governor as the same party as the president since 1990.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A better piece of information to consider is that Wisconsin hasn’t voted for a governor as the same party as the president since 1990.

What D Doyle won in 2002,2006 and WI voted for Prez Gore and Kerry 2000/2004, it will vote for Evers and it voted for Biden

We had D Gov Doyle you know

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.

Hi Charlie Cook

I was walking in Waukesha county the other day, in a Trump +30 precinct, and I met several Walker-Johnson-Trump-Walker-Vukmir-Trump voters who naturally were planning to vote for the Republican nominee against Evers. But once I told them no incumbent governor in Wisconsin has lost since 1986 they really rethought everything and told me there was simply no way they couldn't support Governor Evers. He'll probably win every county.

Remember though, republican have yet to launch their "BIDEN MIDTERM" ad campagin and if they can nominate somebody untied to Young Kim they'll win every county but elitest Dane and Ozaukee through sheer populism.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Johnson is gonna get Dean Hellered and T.Evers will win, Johnson was so ready to Acquit Trump he made a gaffe like Mccarthy did about Trump not Incitement of riot

Evers already legalized weed that should help him

[Pink Panther]

It depends on who the Republicans run, but at the moment Tilt R, Evers isn't too popular and hasn't gone that much done in office, even though it's mostly not his fault.

[Los Angeles Swag Boss]

A few things:
- last time an incumbent lost a WI Gov race was in 1986. Incumbents either leave or win.
- Wisconsin reflects the national environment, which historically is horrible for Democrats.
- we haven’t seen the impact of a global pandemic on early voter registration (Spring Election).
- Wisconsin legislature may pass bills to make it harder to vote.
- no clue what a post-vaccinated world looks like from a public opinion perspective.

So this race is WAYYY too early to call, but the best I can say is toss-up. Too much in the air.

Major Scott Walker Erasure.

Oof, yup. Very true.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Against:
Kleefisch - Lean/Likely R
Gallagher - Lean/Likely R
Kapenga - Lean R
Steil - Tossup
Duffy - Tossup
Priebus - Tilt D
Nicholson - Tilt D

Evers already legalized weed that should help him

Wisconsin has this weird thing called a legislature. It means the governor can't do things like legalize weed by himself.

Wisconsin also has this weird thing where the majority of the population never have a chance of getting a legislative majority.

[walleye26]

Tossup. Dane is growing D, but the north is getting more red.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Tossup with a slight edge to Evers.

[Frenchrepublican]

Tossup, Tilt R if I have to choose.

Like some other people have said Evers is probably one of the most endangered governor in the country, yeah he will have the incumbency advantage, yeah democrats have a relatively high floor in the state because of Dane, now it is a right trending state and Evers approval numbers are quite weak, in a R leaning environment, and assuming republican nominates a credible candidate he will have a very tough race before him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well this poll does show that unlike pbower2A approvals that it might not be a D+9 Election, but it can be a Neutral Environment and if so, we can win WI and PA

[AGA]

Titanium R because of Biden midterm imo

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Titanium R because of Biden midterm imo

.It doesn't go by that 1962/998/2002 Prez had 52 Percent approvals and inparty net gained seats, the state legislatures were split before 2010, now in 2020, Rs have lost supermajorities in PA, MI and WI and have D Govs and Biden is 52 percent not 40 Percent Trump.

The Biden boom will happen in 2022 not 2021 he said D's must be patient on TV with this Recession

Evers is up by 1 and Cook rates the WI Gov race as Lean D