You are told this about IA, OH, MI, WI, and PA before election day
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  You are told this about IA, OH, MI, WI, and PA before election day		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: You are told this about IA, OH, MI, WI, and PA before election day  (Read 671 times)
It's Time.
Oregon Eagle Politics
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« on: January 17, 2021, 08:32:12 PM »
Let's say that the only thing you know about Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania before election day is that they are decided by 8.2%, 8.0%, 0.6%, 1.2%, and 2.8%.  You don't know who wins the states or which margin belongs to which state. What would you have thought?

Thread Idea shamelessly stolen from Progressive Pessimist: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=424822.0
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Coconut Decider
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« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2021, 08:34:56 PM »
Probably would have though what ended up happening, except for with WI/PA switched and maybe Ohio/Iowa. I just couldn't imagine that one of MI/WI/PA  voted so far apart from the others.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2021, 09:05:30 PM »
Trump wins all those states but MI as I thought if OH/IA voted Trump by more than 7 points then that means he wins PA/WI.

I absolutely never would have thought Trump would win Mahoning County while losing Erie County
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2021, 09:31:11 PM »
I assume Biden wins MI by 8.2%, PA by 8.0%, and WI by 2.8%, and Trump wins Ohio by 1.2% and Iowa by 0.6%
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seeking mystical annihilation
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 18, 2021, 10:57:16 AM »
The same as it actually went down, but maybe with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin flipped since late PA polls were tightening.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2021, 11:04:53 AM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on January 17, 2021, 09:31:11 PM
I assume Biden wins MI by 8.2%, PA by 8.0%, and WI by 2.8%, and Trump wins Ohio by 1.2% and Iowa by 0.6%

Exactly this.
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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2021, 11:23:43 AM »
I assume Biden wins MI by 2.8%, WI by 1.2%, while Trump wins PA by 0.6%, OH by 8.0%, IA by 8.2%
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Mr. Third-Wayist
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« Reply #7 on: January 18, 2021, 01:19:35 PM »
MI by 8.2, WI by 8.0, PA, by 1.2

Trump wins OH, by 0.6 and IA by 2.8
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