India 2021 assembly elections - TN, Kerala, WB, Assam, and perhaps J&K

[xelas81]

What would happen if neither UPA and LDP have majority and BJP has balance of power in Kerala?

[xelas81]

Some info on the count.  They count postal first then then count predict by predict releasing results in terms of rounds.  Usually there are 15-25 rounds of counting.  

The way the count usually goes is:
a) if it is neck-to-neck then the count will be neck-to-neck throughout the count
b) if it is landslide then the scale of the landslide will get bigger the later the count goes

After the postal counts are done and 1/3 of the rounds are in looking at the vote share should tell you roughly where things will end up.

Given this, I suspect Assam and Kerala will be close the entire time while Puducherry and TN will be lopsided from the beginning.  I think WB will be pretty lopsided except no one knows who that will favor in WB.

India has postal voting?

[xelas81]

For the Lok Sabha by elections YSRCP won Tirupati (Andhra Pradesh), BJP won Belgaum (Karnataka), IMUL won Malappuram (Kerala) and INC won Kanniyakumari (Tamil Nadu)

[xelas81]

Are non-Yadav OBC still most important swing voting block in UP?