How would Bernie have done in south Texas?
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  How would Bernie have done in south Texas?
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Author Topic: How would Bernie have done in south Texas?  (Read 1115 times)
cafaulait37
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« on: January 17, 2021, 04:07:02 PM »

He won the region in the primary, but Bloomberg also got a large chunk of the vote there.

On the other hand, he outperformed Biden among Latinos everywhere except Florida.

How would he have done?
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cvparty
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« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2021, 04:53:57 PM »

probably somewhat better, but nowhere near clinton/obama. most of the swing was due to pro-trump sentiment rather than anti-biden
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It's Time.
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« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2021, 05:31:14 PM »

10-15% better, but he would still massively underperform Clinton.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2021, 05:32:54 PM »

Better by about 5% or so margin wise but he would do worse in urban/suburban Texas by a few %. The republican gains in Hispanics rural areas is real.

probably somewhat better, but nowhere near clinton/obama. most of the swing was due to pro-trump sentiment rather than anti-biden
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2021, 06:12:08 PM »

Much better, though unlikely to hit the watermarks Obama and Hillary hit.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #5 on: January 17, 2021, 06:13:27 PM »

If team Trump got their hands on that story about Bernie pushing to get nuclear waste dumped in Sierra Blanca, I can imagine that putting a dent in his support, but it would also depend a lot on how strong Bernie's response to that was.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2021, 02:03:03 PM »

10-15% better, but he would still massively underperform Clinton.

This, and he wouldn't get anything close to the same improvement Biden got in the outer suburbs. 
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prag_prog
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« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2021, 02:17:39 AM »

He'd have done similarly as Biden...go back and look at Texas primary results in South Texas...typical pattern was Bernie getting 30% and both Biden, Bloomberg were around 25%. Even though Bernie did win lot of these counties, he didn't win them by big margin like he did in Nevada...just narrow margin like 5-10%, which likely he'd have lost if Bloomberg wasn't there.

Results in South Texas in presidential election shows that it was more of a pro-Trump vote than anti-Biden vote (like seriously there is nothing like anti-Biden...this election was more about pro-Trump vs anti-Trump)...also there was significant undervote in downballot races in South Texas...it's pretty clear there were lot of voters who turned out just for Trump and didn't even both voting in the down ballot races
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