How did the 2016 Obama-Trump voters vote in 2020?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 05:38:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  How did the 2016 Obama-Trump voters vote in 2020?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How did the 2016 Obama-Trump voters vote in 2020?  (Read 588 times)
GroundHigh
Rookie
**
Posts: 16
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 16, 2021, 03:05:05 PM »
How did the much talked about 2016 Obama-Trump voters vote in the 2020 election? Did they stay with Trump or did they go back to Obama's running mate?
Logged
cafaulait37
Rookie
**
Posts: 29
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 16, 2021, 03:52:39 PM »
I think most of them stuck with Trump. The most extreme example of this is Elliot county Kentucky, but even others like Luzerne county Pennsylvania still stayed generally Republican.
Logged
E-Dawg
Guy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 557
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 16, 2021, 03:58:50 PM »
According to Ballotpedia, there were 181 Obama-Obama-Trump-Trump counties but only 25 Obama-Obama-Trump-Biden counties. So it stands to reason that most Obama-Trump voters stuck with Trump in 2020.
Logged
bayareabay
Rookie
**
Posts: 109
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2021, 01:53:02 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2021, 04:03:10 PM by bayareabay »
My mom voted for Obama twice and Trump twice.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,541
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2021, 03:05:13 PM »
They largely stayed with Trump, just as Romney-Clinton voters went overwhelmingly for Biden.
Logged
VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,701
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2021, 07:52:41 PM »
It's hard to be sure. My hunch is that a good number returned to the Democratic fold, but their broader influence was outdone by new voters coming out for Trump.
Logged
dw93
DWL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,881
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2021, 12:49:08 PM »
I'd say it's 50/50, but new voters Trump brought into the fold and enough 3rd party 2016 voters breaking for Biden kind of drowned out their influence.
Logged
TransfemmeGoreVidal
Fulbright DNC
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2021, 01:04:02 PM »
I think that quite a few returned to Biden. In some counties (Lackawanna for instance) he received virtually the same number of raw votes as Obama in 2012 and the only reason the margin was narrower was because Republican turnout was higher. Obviously it can't be proven that those were all the same voters but probably at least a significant number were.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 11 queries.