2012 Electoral Vote Changes (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 20, 2024, 07:06:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  2012 Electoral Vote Changes (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2012 Electoral Vote Changes  (Read 21685 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: December 07, 2006, 01:17:07 PM »

Aside from Ohio and New Hampshire, Colorado was the only competitive state to swing to the Dems in 2004 despite Kerry declining nationwide from Gore's level. (Not including states like Minnesota where Nader's vote was particularly high in 2000.) It will be very competitive in 2008, Kerry having lost it by only 4.5%.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2006, 05:00:26 PM »

I'm just trying to point out that the Mountain West is more competitive than people realize and it is the fastest growing region in the US which means thats where the electoral votes will be heading in 2012.  I also think Texas will be much more competitive in 2008 even.  Although it has a definate Republican lean, Clinton managed 44% there in 1996 when he was up against a non-Texan.  The dramatic increase in the Hispanic population since then plus the GOP's hardline immigration stance, and the fact that there won't be a Texas Republican on the ballot may drive this state into much more competitive territory than it has been in recent years.  I would have to say that this would be a big slap in the face to Bush on his way out though.

Clinton was also from the South and won the last vestiges of Dixiecrat-ism still present in the South. The influx of Hispanics will be countered by continuing disillusionment (especially in immigration-hostile white Texas) of those voters against the Democratic Party. Of course, in truth, neither party really presents the position they want (reduced free trade, reduced immigration), but immigration will seem the more pressing problem to the "common American" of Texas. (This contrasts with, say, Virginia and North Carolina, where free trade is considered the bigger enemy of the "common American".)
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2007, 08:34:43 PM »

Assuming that other states continue to slow faster than Minnesota, Minnesota would gain its lost district back in 2020 as states like New York continue to decline.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 12 queries.