Which of these states will trend D in 2024?

[EastwoodS]

Tennessee maybe? It has the potential to be the next Georgia.

[EastwoodS]

Tennessee maybe? It has the potential to be the next Georgia.

I don't see how you get this. Please explain.

As Nashville grows and attracts more college educated whites and minorities the vote share for Democrats will increase. A lot of the rural areas are close to maxed out for the GOP. And Knoxville and Chattanooga could easily be Democratic stronghold if Democrats bring out more voters from these cities. So to recap, rural areas are close to maxed out for the GOP, Nashville continues to grow and the surrounding suburbs are getting bluer, Chattanooga and Knoxville are getting bluer so if the GOP doesn’t find new voters outside of the rural areas and they keep bleeding support among the college educated, yes TN could very well be competitive one day.

[EastwoodS]

Tennessee maybe? It has the potential to be the next Georgia.

I don't see how you get this. Please explain.

The Nashville/Murfreesboro area is growing quickly and attracting a lot of liberal young people, with Memphis also providing another solid Democratic base. Obviously the state is safe R for 2024, but it’s not impossible to see Nashville becoming another Atlanta a few more cycles down the road. Smaller cities like Chattanooga and Knoxville may also be worth watching.

Nashville will not put up the numbers like Atlanta. You looking at Atlanta voting close to 80%+ for Democrats, while Nashville will stay around 60%. While I understand why you could see it being like GA. I just don't think Nashville will ever put up the numbers like Atlanta to cancel the rest of the state out.

The last Democrat that performed as well as Joe Biden in Nashville was FDR, it is well on its way to reaching +70% Democrat. Also Fulton and Dekalb weren’t always as Democratic either, they looked a lot like Nashville in the 90s and 2000s but here we are...

[EastwoodS]

Tennessee maybe? It has the potential to be the next Georgia.

I don't see how you get this. Please explain.

The Nashville/Murfreesboro area is growing quickly and attracting a lot of liberal young people, with Memphis also providing another solid Democratic base. Obviously the state is safe R for 2024, but it’s not impossible to see Nashville becoming another Atlanta a few more cycles down the road. Smaller cities like Chattanooga and Knoxville may also be worth watching.

Nashville will not put up the numbers like Atlanta. You looking at Atlanta voting close to 80%+ for Democrats, while Nashville will stay around 60%. While I understand why you could see it being like GA. I just don't think Nashville will ever put up the numbers like Atlanta to cancel the rest of the state out.

The last Democrat that performed as well as Joe Biden in Nashville was FDR, it is well on its way to reaching +70% Democrat. Also Fulton and Dekalb weren’t always as Democratic either, they looked a lot like Nashville in the 90s and 2000s but here we are...

When would you say Tennessee could become a purple state?

If I had to extrapolate, with out doing much math, we probably won't see the trend too much in the 2020's; I think it will probably stay somewhat neutral, it may swing slightly to the right if the Democrats win 2024 and Republican wins in 2028. We'll probably see some major shifts in the early 2030's, though. My best guess, as of right now, probably the late 2030s or early-mid 2040s. If it flips, it will be due to the influx of young white liberals pulling the state to the left. A lot of variables though, this prediction relies heavily on current trends.

[EastwoodS]

Tennessee maybe? It has the potential to be the next Georgia.

TN more rural than GA.

Tru