Ancestrally Dem Perry County, KY swung D for the second straight election

[Alcibiades]

Last voted Dem for President in 2000. The Democratic revival in Eastern KY is upon us!

Seriously, an interesting result; you can understand the dead cat bounce in the rock-ribbed Unionist counties, but this was the kind of place where Trump did much better than Romney and even slightly better this year than in 2016. Maybe they just hate black people and women. /s

[seeking mystical annihilation]

Perry wasn't as ancestrally Dem as others in the region like Elliott or Floyd (was Republican until the New Deal, voted GOP in 56 and 60, lower margins in general for Dems), and is allegedly somewhat more economically diversified than much of coal country, as I've seen a number of references to an ancestral lumber industry in the county. Interestingly, Bevin carried it in 2019. It seems like a strange intersection of Dem coal country and the Unionist Pennyroyal region.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Beshear unlike LA which will elect in 2023 an R Gov, believe it or not will reelecr Andy Beshear

[DINGO Joe]

Perry wasn't as ancestrally Dem as others in the region like Elliott or Floyd (was Republican until the New Deal, voted GOP in 56 and 60, lower margins in general for Dems), and is allegedly somewhat more economically diversified than much of coal country, as I've seen a number of references to an ancestral lumber industry in the county. Interestingly, Bevin carried it in 2019. It seems like a strange intersection of Dem coal country and the Unionist Pennyroyal region.

Yeah, it's not really ancestral and the lumber industry swept thru Appalachia even before the coal and  what's left wouldn't really be a reason for any D swing, no matter how small.  Perry is home to regional medical center as several surrounding counties aren't big enough to have a hospital, so it is slightly more educated and has more medical professionals that some other EKY counties and that's probably the source of the tiny swings.

[bagelman]

The rate of swing is also increasing, D+1.56 in 2016 to D+2.63 in 2020. 59.3% stronger swing.

If this rate of swing continues, the county will be R+15.9 in margin in 2036 and flip to D+11.1 in 2040.

The county also trended D for the second straight election. 

[ultraviolet]

The rate of swing is also increasing, D+1.56 in 2016 to D+2.63 in 2020. 59.3% stronger swing.

If this rate of swing continues, the county will be R+15.9 in margin in 2036 and flip to D+11.1 in 2040.

The county also trended D for the second straight election. 

I will now only measure swing by the percentage change from swing A to swing B

[Chips]

It'll remain safely R for a while.

[It's Time.]

It only swung D in 2016 because of 3rd parties.

[It's Time.]

Perry wasn't as ancestrally Dem as others in the region like Elliott or Floyd (was Republican until the New Deal, voted GOP in 56 and 60, lower margins in general for Dems), and is allegedly somewhat more economically diversified than much of coal country, as I've seen a number of references to an ancestral lumber industry in the county. Interestingly, Bevin carried it in 2019. It seems like a strange intersection of Dem coal country and the Unionist Pennyroyal region.

Perry is much more Republican that Kentucky as a whole.