PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it

[MATTROSE94]

Honestly, the Pennsylvania Gubernatorial race is pretty much safe for Doug Mastriano at this point unfortunately.

[MATTROSE94]

Honestly, the Pennsylvania Gubernatorial race is pretty much safe for Doug Mastriano at this point unfortunately.

Doug will be even worse of an opponent for Shapiro than Heidelbaugh was.

Doug Mastriano has a huge following in Pennsylvania among Trump supporters due to his strong support for QAnon and the Stop the Steal movement. Those factors, coupled with 2022 likely being a terrible year for the Democrats, should be enough for Doug Mastriano to win 51-48 against Josh Shapiro. 

[MATTROSE94]

Tilt R. Shapiro isn't being tested enough, and he will lose by 2-3 points like Fetterman.

I agree. Really the election is really Doug Mastriano’s to lose at this point. A scary thing is that Doug Mastriano is a potential running mate for Donald Trump in 2024 and would be even worse than Donald Trump is he is ever elected President.

[MATTROSE94]

Mastriano officially in.

I expect Doug Mastriano to win big in both the primary and general election. He is a colorful character and is a big Stop the Steal supporter, so he will destroy Josh Shapiro considering that Trumpism is very popular in Pennsylvania nowadays.

[MATTROSE94]

The margins in the suburbs for a Shapiro v Mastriano are going to be very interesting.

Inflation and the poor economy will be enough imo to pull Doug Mastriano over the finish line by about 2%. He will be crushed in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh suburbs, but will get North Korea style margins in the rural areas that will be enough to overcome suburban losses.

[MATTROSE94]

Yep, the funny thing, I live here and had no clue he was even coming. Lol. He's making no effort to broaden his base. He didn't even talk to the local paper in town. The only people showing up are his die hards. No money, no ads...it's pathetic.

I’ve seen Trump supporters here in New Jersey praising Doug Mastriano and waving shirts with his slogans “We Don’t Dither” and “Walk As Free People” on them oddly enough.

[MATTROSE94]

Mastriano really makes no effort whatsoever to display any moderate image or broad appeal.  He really just tacks hard right and can't move away from them even for a moment.   Everything needs to be the most conservative stance, the most right wing position, the most pro-Trump statements.   To him there's absolutely no need to balance or appeal to more people or anything.

It's like he never left Republican Primary campaign mode, or a different mode doesn't even exist for him.

He's still running a better campaign than Dr. Oz is.

Slightly better I would say. While I have both Josh Shapiro and John Fetterman narrowly winning as of this week, I think there will be a decent number of Fetterman/Mastriano voters. John Fetterman I think will win by 1%, whereas Josh Shapiro will only win by 0.25-0.5%.