PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it

[GeorgiaModerate]

Also:

https://twitter.com/ehananoki/status/1564290864171679745

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/7-more-republican-leaders-endorse-100000407.html

7 Rs endorse Shapiro for GOV

[Pheurton Skeurto]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/7-more-republican-leaders-endorse-100000407.html

7 Rs endorse Shapiro for GOV

Jesus, Michael Chertoff? That's not a great look. I wouldn't want his endorsement if I was Shapiro.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/HenryJGomez/status/1565097252338671616

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hey guys remember candidate quality doesn't matter at all. This race is definitely at least Lean Mastriano. Shapiro can't buy his way out of the coming red wave.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Hey guys remember candidate quality doesn't matter at all. This race is definitely at least Lean Mastriano. Shapiro can't buy his way out of the coming red wave.

Lean is very generous, don't you know that once Mastriano starts focusing on kitchen table issues and gets his ads running, Shapiro's polling lead will fall from 10 to 6, which roughly unskewed is about Mastriano +5

[Duke of York]

Hey guys remember candidate quality doesn't matter at all. This race is definitely at least Lean Mastriano. Shapiro can't buy his way out of the coming red wave.

Lean is very generous, don't you know that once Mastriano starts focusing on kitchen table issues and gets his ads running, Shapiro's polling lead will fall from 10 to 6, which roughly unskewed is about Mastriano +5

With what money is he going to run ads?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Hey guys remember candidate quality doesn't matter at all. This race is definitely at least Lean Mastriano. Shapiro can't buy his way out of the coming red wave.

Lean is very generous, don't you know that once Mastriano starts focusing on kitchen table issues and gets his ads running, Shapiro's polling lead will fall from 10 to 6, which roughly unskewed is about Mastriano +5

With what money is he going to run ads?

Clearly fundraising will increase as Biden's approval rating increases

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hey guys remember candidate quality doesn't matter at all. This race is definitely at least Lean Mastriano. Shapiro can't buy his way out of the coming red wave.

Lean is very generous, don't you know that once Mastriano starts focusing on kitchen table issues and gets his ads running, Shapiro's polling lead will fall from 10 to 6, which roughly unskewed is about Mastriano +5

With what money is he going to run ads?

His entire campaign so far of going on right-wing podcasts and begging for money will eventually provide a windfall.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Where are my hip boots...I know I left them around here somewhere...

[wbrocks67]

Wondering if Susquehanna is going to release their PA-GOV poll... they said on Monday that SEN and GOV were coming Tue/Wed, we got SEN on Tuesday, and yet Thursday, still nothing on GOV front...

[GeorgiaModerate]

Mastriano is suing the January 6 committee, claiming that it's not allowed to compel testimony.  (Similar suits by other witnesses have failed.)

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/09/01/mastriano-lawsuit-jan6-committee-00054554

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/PhillyInquirer/status/1565469082119331841

[wbrocks67]

Wondering if Susquehanna is going to release their PA-GOV poll... they said on Monday that SEN and GOV were coming Tue/Wed, we got SEN on Tuesday, and yet Thursday, still nothing on GOV front...

I guess they shelved it...

[windjammer]

Mastriano is genuinely a nazi

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/gill_mcgoldrick/status/1567143772223406083

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/gill_mcgoldrick/status/1567143772223406083

I like that! It's a great way to tie abortion to economics.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/gill_mcgoldrick/status/1567143772223406083

I like that! It's a great way to tie abortion to economics.

Am I the only one who remembers Politician's 'the race will narrow when Mastriano gets ads up in the air and focuses on kitchen table issues, while Shapiro does 'muh 1/6''

Very much the opposite.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NoahShachtman/status/1568251608307318785

[wbrocks67]

It's literally like a new oppo dump every week at this point...

[wbrocks67]

Of note:

"There’s a discrepancy among political operatives about exactly how close the Shapiro-Mastriano race is. An Emerson College survey in late August found Shapiro with a narrow 3-point advantage, but one Republican operative familiar with private data said he’s seen evidence of the Democrat ahead by as many as a dozen points."

https://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/1568262312305246210

[Pollster]

If Mastriano doesn't book air time soon, there very well could be none left for him. TV ad space is not limitless and candidates in the past all over the country have learned this the hard way.

[Not Me, Us]

This race really is the perfect storm for Democrats. The best possible Democratic candidate versus the worst possible Republican one.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

If Mastriano doesn't book air time soon, there very well could be none left for him. TV ad space is not limitless and candidates in the past all over the country have learned this the hard way.

What do you think about the point that GOP operatives have reportedly seen internals showing Shapiro up by as much as a dozen points? Is the RGA thinking of triaging it?

[Pollster]

If Mastriano doesn't book air time soon, there very well could be none left for him. TV ad space is not limitless and candidates in the past all over the country have learned this the hard way.

What do you think about the point that GOP operatives have reportedly seen internals showing Shapiro up by as much as a dozen points? Is the RGA thinking of triaging it?

Republican pollsters (and public pollsters) have been very slow to implement the same adjustments that Democratic pollsters have to counter non-response bias among non-college voters (of all races) and overrepresentation of the highly engaged among both party bases. I'm not surprised to hear that Republican internals are showing massive Democratic advantages in the rust belt (where the non-response bias issue is by far the most problematic) and if they cut Mastriano off because of it, music to my ears.