PA GOV 2022: Mastriano vs Shapiro
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2022, 05:38:13 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA GOV 2022: Mastriano vs Shapiro
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 9 10 11 12 13 [14] 15 16 17
Author Topic: PA GOV 2022: Mastriano vs Shapiro  (Read 16408 times)
The Pieman
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,205
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #325 on: May 11, 2022, 09:41:42 PM »

Barletta is better than Mastriano. He's better on the issues, he's more electable and Doug seems like a bit of a grifter.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #326 on: May 12, 2022, 08:10:47 AM »

Problem for Barletta is Corman was polling at like 3-5%. It will give him a tiny boost but nowhere near enough. Barletta needs someone like McSwain or White to do the same.
Logged
Safe & Legal Abortion is a Human Right
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,765
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: -7.13


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #327 on: May 12, 2022, 09:03:55 AM »

Breaking News: Jake Corman is reportedly going to announce on talk radio that he is dropping out of the race tomorrow and endorsing Barletta.

Someone change the title to Corman OUT then back in then back OUT
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #328 on: May 12, 2022, 09:06:45 AM »

Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #329 on: May 12, 2022, 04:12:29 PM »

Trump says on Truth Social he's endorsing in this race "soon" but at this point, it won't even matter. We're down to 4 days before the election.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #330 on: May 12, 2022, 04:36:33 PM »

Logged
JMT
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,568


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #331 on: May 13, 2022, 11:25:50 AM »

Melissa Hart out, endorses Barletta. It seems like the movement to stop Mastriano is uniting behind Barletta, but it may be too late.



Logged
zoz
Rookie
**
Posts: 160


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #332 on: May 13, 2022, 12:04:01 PM »

Melissa Hart out, endorses Barletta. It seems like the movement to stop Mastriano is uniting behind Barletta, but it may be too late.





If they want to stop Mastriano they'll need more than Corman's and Hart's combined 43 supporters
Logged
JMT
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,568


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #333 on: May 13, 2022, 04:56:43 PM »

Logged
Reeeler
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,830
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.17

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #334 on: May 13, 2022, 06:15:46 PM »


Either the GOP will look like massive idiots after this, or Mastriano will pull this out and every D-PA on Atlas moves to New Jersey.
Logged
Make America Gay Again
theflyingmongoose
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,383
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.41, S: -1.29

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #335 on: May 13, 2022, 10:05:20 PM »

Melissa Hart out, endorses Barletta. It seems like the movement to stop Mastriano is uniting behind Barletta, but it may be too late.




The PA GOP is only better at campaigns than 45 state Democratic parties, which is sh**t for a GOP affiliate. Barletta is possibly the only candidate worse than Mastriano.
Logged
Devils30
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,413
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #336 on: May 13, 2022, 11:22:15 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2022, 11:26:09 PM by Devils30 »

Imagine Virginia last year if Amanda Chase won the nomination instead of Youngkin...the Dems doom conversation would be a bit different.

And as bad as McAuliffe was, he would have won had he not gone brain dead with his parents in education remark.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 51,960
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #337 on: May 14, 2022, 12:14:19 AM »

Melissa Hart out, endorses Barletta. It seems like the movement to stop Mastriano is uniting behind Barletta, but it may be too late.




The PA GOP is only better at campaigns than 45 state Democratic parties, which is sh**t for a GOP affiliate. Barletta is possibly the only candidate worse than Mastriano.

I wish politicians weren't so dumb about political cycles and picking their moments.

Prior to 2018, Barletta's record was that of nearly unseating a multi-decade incumbent in a Kerry district that included both Wilkes-Barre and Scranton as a Dem vote sink in NE PA, in 2008. Then actually taking the seat in 2010.

He has a long history of support with working class white voters and even considering realignments, these are still massively important in Pennsylvania.
Logged
The Pieman
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,205
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #338 on: May 14, 2022, 02:43:09 AM »

Melissa Hart out, endorses Barletta. It seems like the movement to stop Mastriano is uniting behind Barletta, but it may be too late.



The PA GOP is only better at campaigns than 45 state Democratic parties, which is sh**t for a GOP affiliate. Barletta is possibly the only candidate worse than Mastriano.
Barletta is WAY better of a candidate than Mastriano lmao
Logged
Mr.Barkari Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 65,242
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #339 on: May 14, 2022, 05:29:25 AM »

And Shapiro like Mark Kelly and Fetterman are our best recruit it's gonna be difficult when we have won PA consistently for Rs to win back PA they only won because D's errored in 2016 not to nominate Sestak whom was beating Pat Toomey in all the polls and nominated Kate McGinty
Logged
JMT
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,568


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #340 on: May 14, 2022, 07:40:47 AM »

And it’s official:

Logged
Safe & Legal Abortion is a Human Right
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,765
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: -7.13


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #341 on: May 14, 2022, 08:15:40 AM »

LMAOOOO congratulations Governor Shapiro
Logged
Duke of York
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 837


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #342 on: May 14, 2022, 08:45:59 AM »


I would not be so confident. I no longer see any candidate as unelectable.
Logged
Utah Neolib
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,577
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #343 on: May 14, 2022, 10:46:49 AM »

Neither Lake nor Mastriano are high quality candidates, but Lake actually has a local news background that could appeal to people enough to possibly win. Meanwhile, Mastriano looks angry and someone could not be possibly fooled into thinking they weren’t crazy. Sharron Angle vibes here.
Logged
Lone Star Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,179
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -1.57

P P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #344 on: May 14, 2022, 01:37:20 PM »
« Edited: May 17, 2022, 12:58:36 PM by Lone Star Politics »

My theory on why Trump won't endorse:

  • Doesn't like Mastriano since he voted for the voter ID legislation in 2020
  • Thinks Barletta is a loser for losing to Bob Casey in 2018 by double digits in what could've been a perfectly winnable race in Trump's eyes
  • White is polling too low for Trump to endorse in order to protect his endorsement record, despite White likely being Trump's favorite in the race


Well this didn't age well, although I guess I was still (maybe?) right about his views on Barletta and White. Guess if he wanted to protect his precious endorsement record then he didn't really have a choice on endorsing Mastriano.

And with Mastriano now at a 10 point lead over Barletta in the Trafalgar poll, I think it's safe to say that as of now, Mastriano is the clear favorite for the nomination.
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,193
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #345 on: May 16, 2022, 03:20:17 AM »

If Mastriano is the GOP nominee, Shapiro probably will gain the slight edge but it's still clearly a toss-up.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #346 on: May 16, 2022, 07:55:40 AM »

The margins in the suburbs for a Shapiro v Mastriano are going to be very interesting.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #347 on: May 16, 2022, 09:03:42 AM »


Yup. Safe D. Far-right ultra MAGA insurrectionist Qanon conspiracy theorist Mastriano will do 10 points worse in the suburbs than Trump. Trump is practically Mitt Romney compared to him.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #348 on: May 16, 2022, 10:36:01 AM »

The margins in the suburbs for a Shapiro v Mastriano are going to be very interesting.
Inflation and the poor economy will be enough imo to pull Doug Mastriano over the finish line by about 2%. He will be crushed in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh suburbs, but will get North Korea style margins in the rural areas that will be enough to overcome suburban losses.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,006


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #349 on: May 16, 2022, 01:38:49 PM »

The margins in the suburbs for a Shapiro v Mastriano are going to be very interesting.
Inflation and the poor economy will be enough imo to pull Doug Mastriano over the finish line by about 2%. He will be crushed in the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh suburbs, but will get North Korea style margins in the rural areas that will be enough to overcome suburban losses.

Maybe if Shapiro was a generic D, but he's had a history of overperforming in areas like Luzerne where Ds have collapsed in recent years, so I wouldn't be so sure.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 9 10 11 12 13 [14] 15 16 17  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 14 queries.